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Learn me Ken Pom

Posted on 12/4/19 at 6:50 am
Posted by piggilicious
Member since Jan 2011
37310 posts
Posted on 12/4/19 at 6:50 am
I’m not complaining about it, we are in the lower 20s as far as i can tell so that sounds good and i don’t care about knowing his basis for algorithms, just more curious what the columns mean and how to interpret them.

So, teams are listed in order of goodness, so that part makes sense to me because it’s like every other ranking but what about all the columns? Adj O obviously means offense and D defense but is the little number to the right the ranking overall of those categories? Also what about AdjT and Luck etc? And lastly, Adj EM - why is there an Eric Musselman category - is he that good???
This post was edited on 12/4/19 at 7:16 am
Posted by pioneerbasketball
Team Bunchie
Member since Oct 2005
139098 posts
Posted on 12/4/19 at 7:15 am to
quote:

Learn me Ken Pom


quote:

Eric Mussellman

Let's start with this.
Posted by piggilicious
Member since Jan 2011
37310 posts
Posted on 12/4/19 at 7:16 am to
Fixed but name spelling is hard.
Posted by Hawgnsincebirth55
Gods country
Member since Sep 2016
18165 posts
Posted on 12/4/19 at 7:33 am to
Well your a woman everything is hard for you..jk
Posted by admiralduckwad
Member since Dec 2012
2714 posts
Posted on 12/4/19 at 7:38 am to
Basically it's all tempo adjusted.

Points per possession on I think a 100 play average both scored and given up. Then you get that margin.

If it's big positive, you are good, if not you aren't

Can be very predictive come tourney time if you have a team that is both solid in adjusted O and adjusted D. Think most of the winners the last 20 years have been ranked 20 or better in both except for like 2-3 teams
Posted by admiralduckwad
Member since Dec 2012
2714 posts
Posted on 12/4/19 at 7:43 am to
"Offensive/Defensive Efficiency – This is the number of points scored or allowed per 100 possessions".

So effectively O is how many points per 100 possessions

D is the opposite

The T is tempo or how many possessions you get a game

And the margin (em) between O and D is what counts

then it projects games by projecting how many possessions you will have in a given game and how the team you play against matches up on the same metrics

Currently projects Arkansas finishing 22-9 and 11-7 in conference
This post was edited on 12/4/19 at 7:47 am
Posted by BoarEd
The Hills
Member since Oct 2015
38862 posts
Posted on 12/4/19 at 7:45 am to
quote:

Currently projects Arkansas finishing 22-9


That would be awesome. That's the exact number of wins I predicted in the prediction thread.
Posted by piggilicious
Member since Jan 2011
37310 posts
Posted on 12/4/19 at 8:19 am to
Thanks Admiral- very helpful!
Posted by BadPiggy
NW Arkansas
Member since Jan 2015
533 posts
Posted on 12/4/19 at 8:26 am to
I could definitely go for 22-9 for first year coach with no bigs. Not only that, but they play hard which makes them worth watching.
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