re: Can Alabama get into playoffs without TUA?

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this would be completely irrelevant. Oregon would have the same amount of losses but a P5 championship which alabama would not.

Alabama's ONLY chance is for 2 p5 conferences to have champions with multiple losses. And that seems extremely unlikely.

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IDK about extremely but it is unlikely. I dont think Clemson gets beat. But there is a chance that OU loses and the PAC has a 2 loss champion.