re: Polls taking Tua into account

Alabama really needs Oregon or Utah to drop one in their remaining games, and then have that team win the PAC 12.
But Oregon plays @ Arizona State and @ Oregon State. Utah plays @ Arizona and home against Colorado.
Of those four games, I'd give it a 40% chance that one of them will lose, most likely coming this weekend with Oregon @ ASU.
Then Bama will need LSU to win out (or the 0.0001% chance they lose to both aTm and Arkansas) and beat UGA.