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re: Bold prediction: Vandy beats Auburn this Saturday.

Posted on 2/14/19 at 1:50 pm to
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 2/14/19 at 1:50 pm to
This is why I think Auburn is likely safely in the field...

Joe Lunardi Bracketology, Opponents faced in the current projected field:

1-seed, Duke- Lost by 6 points
2-seed, Kentucky- Lost by 2 points
5-seed, LSU- Lost by 5 points
7-seed, Mississippi St.- Lost by 8 points
8-seed, Ole Miss- Lost by 15 points
8-seed, Ole Miss- Lost by 5 points
8-seed, Washington- WON by 22 points
9-seed, NC State- Lost by 7 points
10-seed, Alabama- WON by 21 points
----
2nd-team OUT, Florida- WON by 14 points

Auburn is 3-7 against opponents projected in the NCAA Field or right on the Bubble, and the average score of those games results in Auburn losing by just 0.7 points in each contest.

Auburn is 12-1 against all other opponents. The only "Bad Loss" was a road loss at South Carolina..... a team that if it keeps winning at home might end up on the Bubble themselves.

Auburn will likely be "on the Bubble" come March, but barring a loss to Vanderbilt, Arkansas, or Georgia which are all upcoming games, Auburn may be the only Bubble team that come Selection Sunday doesn't have a single loss to an opponent outside the Field or in consideration for it.

Especially if South Carolina's record keeps improving, and they get into the discussion.... its going to be hard to put teams like Washington, Alabama, or Florida in ahead of the Tigers when they beat them so soundly head-to-head. Alabama has a chance to rectify that loss, but those other teams do not.

If you look at Auburn's entire body of work, it is clear to me they are probably a #35-#45 team in the country. That puts them squarely on the Bubble, but to me they have a very sound resume for a team that should be seeded somewhere between #9 and #12..... and barring a loss to Vandy, Georgia, or Arkansas, nothing I can see will change that fact.
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