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re: "Expert" Predictions for the Alabama-LSU Game (Athlon, CBS, Sporting News, etc.)
Posted on 11/1/18 at 2:24 pm to TideSaint
Posted on 11/1/18 at 2:24 pm to TideSaint
From the Rumble Seat
quote:
#1 Alabama Crimson Tide (-15) @ #3 LSU Tigers
Seven years ago, these two met as #1 and #2 in the so-called Game of the Century, and.... look, you know what’s happened since. It’s a nice long string of Ls for LSU. LLLLLLLSU, if I felt like making the easy joke. So hey, Alabama’s #1 this time.... again, and LSU is #3, which is close enough to #2, right? Sure, except Bama’s only gotten better and better. The Tide have tended to simply slowly crush the life out of their opponents in years past, but with Tua Tagovailoa behind center they’ve discovered the novel concept of offense and have happily switched settings to “obliterate”. They’re favored by two scores against the #3 team. Let the sun consume us before the Tide do.
Illuminati pick: Alabama
1
Posted on 11/1/18 at 2:25 pm to TideSaint
Bleacher Report
quote:
No. 1 Alabama (-14.5) at No. 3 LSU (8 p.m., CBS)
The prevailing thought surrounding Week 10's marquee matchup is that Alabama deserves to be favored by double digits until it shows any signs of weakness.
Although the 14.5-point line seems enormous for a clash between No. 1 and No. 3, it's been based off the recent history of the rivalry and the numbers put up by both offenses this season.
Alabama enters Tiger Stadium with a seven-game winning streak over LSU, dating back to the 2012 BCS National Championship.
Nick Saban's team won five of the seven games by a double-digit margin, and it's taken the matchup by a combined score of 34-10 over the past two seasons.
No matter who has started at quarterback for the Tigers, they have been unable to put up consistent offensive numbers against the Crimson Tide.
The highest point total recorded by the Tigers against the Crimson Tide during their losing streak is 17, which was their total in 2012 and 2013.
On paper, the offensive matchup leans heavily in Alabama's direction, as the Crimson Tide rank first in points per game and second in total offense and yards per game.
Conversely, LSU ranks 61st in points per game at close to 24 less than Alabama, and the Tigers average 180 fewer yards than the Crimson Tide.
The only way LSU comes out on top Saturday is if it turns the contest into a defensive struggle, and while the Tigers may be able to hold out for a half, Alabama will overpower them like it has in the past.
Alabama 34, LSU 17
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