re: Who makes it the CFP first out of these three Blue-Bloods?

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Texas by far . They have a recruiting base that’s better then the other 2 combined. They also have a better chance of being the elite team in their conference.

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This is the most important factor by far. As for recruiting, only Nebraska is at a disadvantage. Even Butch Jones could bring in a top 5 class to Tennessee. State borders matter far less than location and that's where Nebraska has a tougher time.