re: Does anyone seriously believe that bama doesn't make the CFP?

If Oklahoma and Wisconsin both win their title games I think Bama is screwed.

If either of those teams lose, Bama is in.

Winner of ACC and SEC title games are in for sure.
But Bama will definitely get in over TCU or Ohio State if they win their conference title game. And if they don't that's pure SEC fatigue on the part of the committee.

I actually hope they do get left out so that we can use it fodder to lobby for a 6 team playoff with a first round bye for #1 and #2. More chaos is good for the future. So go ahead and pick the Buckeyes, committee members.