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re: 2015 Clemson vs 2011 LSU
Posted on 1/14/16 at 2:10 pm to RB10
Posted on 1/14/16 at 2:10 pm to RB10
quote:
The simulation spit out 4 20+ point wins for Clemson in 10 games.
It's clearly shite.
I'm not sure you understand what a "small sample size" is and how that relates to Monte Carlo simulations.
Follow the link. Simulate some more for yourself. The more you run, the closer to the true probability average will occur. Go. Have fun. Get out of the house a bit. See some sunshine.
Edit: here's the link again: 2015 Clemson vs 2011 LSU Simulation
At the original posting, the simulation had been run about 20 times, now it is up to at least 50 and the overall winning record has swung slightly to Clemson.
You might find it quite interesting to unhide player stats and show the individual plays. It's not perfect - it's a theoretical exercise, though one statistically based. I find these sort of simulations to be interesting, maybe you will too.
This post was edited on 1/14/16 at 2:18 pm
2
Posted on 1/14/16 at 2:54 pm to iglass
Yeah and if you run the simulation for LSU 2012-2013 2015-2016 it's at 3-3 after 6 sims. That simulator sucks lol.
Posted on 1/14/16 at 3:37 pm to iglass
quote:
You might find it quite interesting to unhide player stats and show the individual plays. It's not perfect - it's a theoretical exercise, though one statistically based. I find these sort of simulations to be interesting, maybe you will too.
By interesting, I hope you mean "shite", because that's what it is.
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