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re: A statistics nerd on Reddit plugged all 128 teams into a computer model
Posted on 8/25/15 at 4:00 pm to nebraskafaninwi
Posted on 8/25/15 at 4:00 pm to nebraskafaninwi
quote:
Gotta love computer geeks thinking they have the game of football predictions mastered.
Never said I did. Again this is for gambling purposes only. It's a starting point. I use this data to help me handicap games. But its not the gospel or the final say.
quote:
News flash, players graduate and new players come in. Sometimes new players can be studs and player replacing the graduated players can be worse or better.
It's not like my system uses last years numbers and assumes nothing changes. It takes a team, what they did last year, and what they have coming back, and identifies past teams who were in similar situations and then aggregates how those teams improved or declined.
I understand that some teams lose players and bring in better ones, but there is no objective way to measure that. You can't objectively measure how a recruit who has never played meaningful snaps will perform. For every Johnny Manziel you have a Jeff Driskell.
Posted on 8/25/15 at 4:03 pm to accnodefense
So you admit your just wasting your time since that is all it is.
Go ahead and predict the exact stats for the Bama vs WI game for me so I can let my friends know how the game is going to go so they know if it is worth traveling to the game.
Thanks.
Go ahead and predict the exact stats for the Bama vs WI game for me so I can let my friends know how the game is going to go so they know if it is worth traveling to the game.
Thanks.
Posted on 8/25/15 at 6:43 pm to accnodefense
Here, I've got a better model and this model is always 100% correct on how the teams are ranked preseason. It has never been wrong once in where it ranked them prior to the season. It has also correctly gotten the national champion correct the majority of the time. The only shortcomings of this model are a small detail that involve its need to properly weight head to head outcomes. That's it. You will never be misled by this model. You will know exactly where your team stacks up preseason compared to the others. So here it is.
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