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re: MLB Draft Thread - 71 SEC Players Drafted

Posted on 6/11/15 at 12:27 am to
Posted by metafour
Member since Feb 2007
3600 posts
Posted on 6/11/15 at 12:27 am to
quote:

You're much more likely to get to the majors quicker as someone out of a college so its not like your losing time to start the clock for more money.


Wrong. If you're good enough out of HS, you will in most cases move faster than someone who spends three years in College. In 2011 the Blue Jays drafted Tyler Beede in the 1st round and Daniel Norris in the 2nd round, both top HS pitchers. Beede didn't sign and went to Vanderbilt, whereas Norris signed. As of this year Norris has already made MLB starts, and pitched out of the bullpen last season. He is currently pitching in AAA. Beede on the other hand has just recently been promoted to AA, making only one AA start to date.

Your top College pick is typically going to start their pro career out in A-ball or High A. A HS signee who succeeds is most likely going to be further than that after three seasons (the College kid's NCAA career).

Go back and look at the other top HS picks from that 2011 Draft who ended up signing:

Dylan Bundy: Made MLB, unfortunately blew out elbow
Bubba Starling: Bust, still in AA however
Archie Bradley: Pitching in MLB
Javier Baez: Played 52 MLB games last year, currently in AAA
Francisco Lindor: Made AAA last season, still in AAA this year
Brandon Nimmo: Made AA last season, still in AA this year
Jose Fernandez: Elite MLB starter before blowing out his elbow
Taylor Guerrieri: Only in High A because of blown elbow, would be much higher otherwise
Joe Ross: Made MLB debut this season
Blake Swihart: Made MLB debut this season
Robert Stephenson: Pitching in AA since last season

As you can see, the guys who weren't complete busts are pretty much all ahead of Beede on the developmental path, with many of them already either currently playing in the MLB or having MLB experience under their belt.

This post was edited on 6/11/15 at 12:44 am
Posted by reel_gator8
Seminole,Fl
Member since May 2012
11060 posts
Posted on 6/12/15 at 5:41 am to
quote:

metafour



quote:

Your top College pick is typically going to start their pro career out in A-ball or High A. A HS signee who succeeds is most likely going to be further than that after three seasons (the College kid's NCAA career).



What you are missing is that the kids coming out of high school are paid peanuts unless they make it to the "bigs" and the average college player will get bigger and better contracts as a norm. Sure...they get paid a signing bonus out of high school but then reality sets in with long bus rides, skimpy facilities and average arrangements in living quarters.

Its hard to make it in MLB just as it is in the NFL or NBA etc etc...no one is there to hold your hand and wipe your azz for you...as a result the average high school player will face a lot of uphill struggles and the failure rate is slightly higher most likely.

You know how many football & baseball players are driving beverage trucks, selling insurance or working in a wireless retail center after a few years of pro ball? It is the dream of most football players at major level schools to become pros and the rainbow keeps moving around on them. Its ok to dream and try to pursue it, but backup plans better be in order.
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