Guess we will just have to wait and see. A lot depends on everyone else. 3 road wins will do a lot expescially when OM is as high as they are.

In other news. From D1 Chat (Kendall) on injured Texas A&M ace Tyler Stub.

quote:
Rumor has it that he might pitch tomorrow night, but sources close to the situation have said he probably won't. So, who knows on Stubblefield. I know he's been throwing for a while now, the Aggies could really use him if he's healthy.

1 ...

Report Post

Posted by Farmer1906

The Woodlands, TX

Member since Apr 2009

50803 posts

Posted on 5/11/15 at 1:38 pm to Farmer1906

A few more notes from the chat.

quote:
quote:
Auburn, Arkansas, Kentucky, and Missouri -- still okay for regionals? Their RPI's moved in the wrong direction this past weekend

quote:
I'm not worried about Arkansas, despite the RPI, but the other three are all very much on the bubble. That Kentucky-Missouri series might very well amount to an elimination series for at-large hopes. Auburn absolutely cannot get swept at Florida, and even if it loses two out of three, it could be in trouble. 14 SEC wins is usually safe, but 13 is precarious. 12 is not enough.
-Fitt

quote:
quote:
What does Texas A&M need to do in its series at Ole Miss and in the SEC Tournament to secure a national seed? Any thoughts on the Aggies' pitching staff, which was just in disarray over the weekend?

quote:
Chris,
There's zero doubt A&M's pitching staff is a glaring question mark right now, and I wrote as much during the LSU series. Mark Ecker reminds me a lot of LSU RHP Jesse Stallings in the sense that he has big-time velo, but throws everything on a straight line. Him getting that SL/CB going is a big key for him. I would look for A&M to use Corbin Martin and Rex Hill a lot more this weekend and moving forward.
-KR

quote:

quote:
Hey guys. I was just wondering what y'all thought about Missouri's chances of making the postseason after last week. Is it as simple as: win the Kentucky series and they're in, or is there more to it. The RPI is not where it should be, but 14 conference wins is usually good enough in the SEC. What are y'all's thoughts?

quote:

Thomas,
A Kentucky series win definitely would help. We will have to evaluate Missouri tomorrow night. Right now, without delving into other teams' resumes, I would probably have Missouri out with an RPI in the 50s and a 7-14 mark vs. RPI Top 50 teams. The conference record is good, but damn, those other metrics are bleh.

-KR

quote:
quote:
If it comes down to FSU vs. Florida does FSU stand the better chance of getting a National Seed based on winning the regular season series between the two?

quote:
It helps a bit, but those were all midweek games, so I don't think it's an overriding factor. But right now, I think Florida State has the better resume anyway.

-Fitt

quote:
quote:
How is FSU's resume better than UF's? I get that the RPI is higher, but UF has better non-conf SOS, similar record vs top 25, FSU has two losses vs RPI 100 . A close midweek series win shouldn't mean much. And UF has not been swept once, but FSU was swept at Notre Dame and actually lost a series at Georgia.

quote:
You make some fair points, certainly -- I think they are close. FSU gets the edge because of that slightly higher RPI and that 16-10 mark vs. the top 50, compared with Florida's 11-7, and because of the head-to-head results. Gators have three series losses against bubble teams (Ole Miss, Kentucky, Missouri). FSU has one series loss very early against a non-regional team (Georgia), a series loss to a team that will be in regionals (Notre Dame), and a tough road series loss to Louisville. It's close, but I like FSU's body of work a bit more.
-Fitt

quote:
quote:
If Florida wins the series with Auburn, does the SEC Tournament mean anything to UF in terms of the national seed?

quote:
Bryan,
Sure it does, especially if A&M takes care of business this weekend, and the SEC is only going to get two national seeds (if that's the case). I still like Florida's chances right now, however.

-KR

quote:
quote:
If Bama sneaks into the SEC tournament, would they then make the NCAAs?

quote:

Barney,
Not happening for Alabama without sweeping this weekend, or just winning the SEC tournament. Bama still has an extremely poor mark in conference and has a 7-15 mark vs. RPI top 50 teams. That's not even close to a postseason team right now, and rightfully so. But guess what? Things can change
-KR