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re: What the mind can conceive, the heart does believe

Posted on 10/22/14 at 10:27 am to
Posted by Rig
BHM
Member since Aug 2011
41856 posts
Posted on 10/22/14 at 10:27 am to
A lot of Auburn fans will tell you don't sleep on numbers alone when evaluating this team. It's easy to see Malzahn wants to run the football and statistically that shows up on paper. But to look at the passing game and write it off as a non-factor automatically is a little misleading. NFL scouts have evaluated both Coates and Duke Williams as NFL draft picks and we've proven we are capable of getting the ball to them. The completion percentage to me seems a little misleading because we usually don't have to go to the air but when we do it's usually a deep ball off of a play action. On passes <20 yards Marshall's been a competent QB for us.

quote:

Auburn has the 39th ranked Pass Defense, SC is ranked 75th HOWEVER, the only passing team they played is Miss St. This is where we have an advantage, our passing game vs their pass defense.

We held them to 246 yards through the air which was well below their average going into the game. So using how our pass defense played against State isn't helping your cause. We also forced Prescott to throw 2 interceptions so take it for what it's worth.

I'm looking forward to seeing which Carolina comes to town though. I've never seen a Jekyll and Hyde football team like yours before.
Posted by 1801
Charleston
Member since Aug 2012
6371 posts
Posted on 10/22/14 at 10:51 am to
quote:

I'm looking forward to seeing which Carolina comes to town though. I've never seen a Jekyll and Hyde football team like yours before.


we're hoping it's the one that beat & held East Carolina's #3 nationally ranked offense 18 points below their average, controlling the game for the final 50 minutes of the contest.
This post was edited on 10/22/14 at 10:52 am
Posted by CockInYourEar
Charlotte
Member since Sep 2012
22458 posts
Posted on 10/22/14 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

But to look at the passing game and write it off as a non-factor automatically is a little misleading. NFL scouts have evaluated both Coates and Duke Williams as NFL draft picks and we've proven we are capable of getting the ball to them.


Coates has 12 receptions all year. He's 6"2" 206 lbs and with a 4.35 40 time, so he's a natural athlete and has a Pro WR body, but he only has 12 receptions all year at Auburn. Now Williams has 31 catches he's doing a great job getting open and would appear to be the #1 WR.

quote:

he completion percentage to me seems a little misleading because we usually don't have to go to the air but when we do it's usually a deep ball off of a play action. On passes <20 yards Marshall's been a competent QB for us.


That completion percentage takes into account the deep and short balls. He's completing about 55% of his passes, that's the same as it was 4 weeks ago when they ran an article breaking down his accuracy issues.
https://www.al.com/auburnfootball/index.ssf/2014/09/inside_the_numbers_analysis_sh.html
quote:

Marshall was 4-of-10 for 126 yards and one touchdown on throws of 15 yards or more, including at least one drop by a receiver.


So you may say Marshall might be improving as a passer from last year, but his completion % is down, his Yards Per Attempt are down and his QBR is down. Although, he is on pace to throw more TD's.
https://espn.go.com/college-football/player/_/id/550021/nick-marshall

200-ish Yards is about all we can expect him to pass on a good day against even SC's poor pass defense.
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