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re: Auburn has covered the spread in 13 straight games

Posted on 9/9/14 at 12:03 am to
Posted by IAmReality
Member since Oct 2012
12229 posts
Posted on 9/9/14 at 12:03 am to
That's an exceptionally improbable stat, considering covering is almost always about a 50/50 proposition.

It tells me two things and both true.

1. The odds makers are consistently under-rating Auburn
2. Auburn has been running hot in terms of luck/variance.

Both are true and needed to explain the numbers.
Posted by parkjas2001
Gustav Fan Club: Consigliere
Member since Feb 2010
45000 posts
Posted on 9/9/14 at 6:54 am to
Yeah covering that 31 point Saturday was lucky as shite
Posted by CharlieTiger
ATL
Member since Jun 2014
766 posts
Posted on 9/9/14 at 9:49 am to
quote:

I guess a 13 game parlay would have odds of 8,000:1. I don't know if it's possible bet that far in the future. Or can you keep a running parlay?


It was if you bet 100 on the first game and kept betting the winnings of each subsequent game, you'd be in the 800k range now.

quote:

1. The odds makers are consistently under-rating Auburn


This along with a high scoring offense is why this has happened.
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