Started By
Message

re: Predict Clemson @ Georgia

Posted on 8/26/14 at 11:24 pm to
Posted by ConwayGamecock
South Carolina
Member since Jan 2012
9121 posts
Posted on 8/26/14 at 11:24 pm to
This year Clemson has some substantial questions regarding their offense. But all the pre-season hype has been around their highly talented and nationally elite defense. I recall there wasn't much pre-season talk about their defense last year. Sure they thought a full year of experience in Venables' system should make for improvement. But the talk was mostly about Heisman contenders Boyd at QB, and Watkins at WR. So the defense got overshadowed a bit....

But now with Boyd, Watkins, and leading rusher McDowell gone, the pre-season hype has been all about Clemson's defense. And then I go, "now wait a minute".....


And then look at the stats. Clemson allowed 156.15 rushing YPG in 2012, and 155.69 rushing YPG last season. That was good enough for a national ranking improvement from 58th to 53rd. CU allowed 16 rushing TDs in 2012, and 22 TDs in 2013. So overall, was that great improvement?

Clemson also allowed 24.8 points per gm in 2012, and only 22.2 ppg last season. An improvement in scoring defense of about a FG less allowed per game. Was that a great improvement?

Then I saw passing D: Clemson allowed about 40 fewer passing yds per gm in 2013 than what they allowed in 2012. And thus that made their total defense improve by about 40 YPG as well. It made their Total Defense ranking go from 64th nationally - about middling - to 24th in 2013, which is above solid.


So there's the Great Improvement on Clemson's defense that everyone seems to be harking about. But then I go, "but wait a minute".....


There's something different about Clemson's 2013 season compared to most of it's other past seasons. It has to do with their 2013 opponents. Oh Yes: Clemson played TWO - not ONE - FCS opponents.

Clemson played SC State AND the Citadel in 2013. SC State finished 2013 ranked 90th in the FCS in passing offense. That's bad enough, but guess where the Citadel ranked. Out of 120+ FCS programs, the Citadel ranked DEAD LAST in passing offense. They run a triple-option, wishbone type of offense. They don't throw the ball at all.

Clemson held the Citadel to minus 4 passing yds, and SC St. to around 150 passing yds. THAT goes a lot of the way towards the passing defense improvement that Clemson saw in 2013. Against the top quality opponents on Clemson's schedule last season - UGA, FSU, USC, and OSU - they allowed around 40 points per game and 460+ total yds per game. Which isn't much worth a lot of pre-season hype over, at all, in my opinion.

So, what IS there to hype about, regarding Clemson in 2014??? Oh yeah - they've gone 6-0 versus SEC opponents under Swinney. Hey, it's a start.....
Posted by slayerxing
Gainesville
Member since Feb 2010
11045 posts
Posted on 8/27/14 at 9:46 am to
Clemson was #5 in the country in 3rd down defense last year, only allowing a conversion 30% of the time.

They were tied for #10 in the country in TO gained.

They were #19 in the country in pass efficiency defense, which is a much better Pass D stat to look at instead of passing yards allowed.

They were #13 in the country in sacks.

They were #24 in yards per rush allowed.

This was not a terrible defense. They return a ton of starters, and could potentially be better than last year, but even just as good will be a challenge for anyone they play.

I think that they are going to sack UGA's QB, a lot. But they will struggle to contain Gurley because he is VERY VERY Good. If Clemson's QB play is decent, it'll be close all the way, but I think UGA pulls it out in the end.

Right now I'm going to guess 35-31 or something like that.


Note: Yeah, they got kinda blasted by USCe and FSU - but they had 10 lost turnovers in those games. If they hadn't have melted down like that, I doubt they lose to USCe. (-6 in turnovers that game)
This post was edited on 8/27/14 at 9:48 am
first pageprev pagePage 1 of 1Next pagelast page
refresh

Back to top
logoFollow SECRant for SEC Football News
Follow us on Twitter and Facebook to get the latest updates on SEC Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitter