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re: Bama owns 10% of the nation's Top 100 with ten months to go.
Posted on 4/22/14 at 1:35 pm to UpToPar
Posted on 4/22/14 at 1:35 pm to UpToPar
quote:
All any of this means is that there is a better chance that these 10 kids will turn into impact players. That's not to say a team that only gets 3 of the Top 100 players won't end up with 10 impact players from that class 3 years down the road, just that the team with 10 top 100 players has a better chance of that occurring.
Recruiting is an exact science. It's not guesswork. It's like shooting craps. The house will not win every roll but over the long run the house will always profit around 1.5% off the game.
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Posted on 4/22/14 at 2:14 pm to StopRobot
quote:
Recruiting is an exact science. It's not guesswork.
Recruiting is the definition of guesswork, whether those decisions are educated guesses or not doesn't matter, still guess work.
quote:
It's like shooting craps. The house will not win every roll but over the long run the house will always profit around 1.5% off the game.
I agree to some extent, but when you shoot craps, there is a quantifiable probability that you will roll your point before you crap out. That certainty is not there in recruiting. Sure, there is a greater chance that a player who is highly touted will pan out, but there is absolutely no way to know what that probability is. There are so many different factors that go in to recruiting and there are plenty of examples of 3 star recruiting becoming all americans and 5 star busts.
Regardless, this doesn't take away from what Bama has been doing in the recruiting department.
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