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re: SEC Network, the thread

Posted on 3/5/14 at 6:37 pm to
Posted by tmc94
Member since Sep 2012
11559 posts
Posted on 3/5/14 at 6:37 pm to
Here's the article that caught my interest: New Dish deal could spark cord-cutting

Apparently, Dish is looking into options to sell the Disney suite of web channels as a stand alone offering. That would be huge because if you could get WatchESPN and ESPN3 (as well as SECN3 or whatever) I'm not sure I'd care if I had cable at all.
Posted by CGSC Lobotomy
Member since Sep 2011
81366 posts
Posted on 3/5/14 at 6:55 pm to
I'm actually happy with Comcast, as I don't watch the NFL until the playoffs.
Posted by tmc94
Member since Sep 2012
11559 posts
Posted on 3/5/14 at 7:00 pm to
Couple of notes about the SECN. If I have time I'll try to napkin out the financials but here's what we know

- The base fee they are after is $1.30 in-market and $0.25 out of market.

BTN Numbers ( LINK)
- $1.00 in market. The avg rate is $0.41
- approximately 52m subscribers, 20m in footprint.
- $0.05 out of market (calculated)
- $0.41 * 52m * 12 = $255m annually in subscriber fees
- The BTN distributed $8.1m per school last year @12 schools = 97.2m. The BTN owns 50% so the network made about $200m

ESPN has publicly targeted about 75m subscribers. But what we know so far - ATT and Dish have approximately 20m subscribers. But in both cases, SECN is on the basic tier meaning it's in every package so that 20m is actually 20m (not sure about Uverse but BTN is not on basic for Dish)

Assuming the rates are correct then and assuming a split of 7m in market and 13m out of market
- (7m * 1.3 + 13m * 0.25) * 12 = 148m

Obviously this ignores advertising and digital rates. Too early to say on that, but just assuming those match the BTN, the Dish deal has made the entire thing profitable on day one.

ETA: Some more BTN info
- Net advertising revenue also increased last year to $30.1 million (2011) LINK
- still unsure on the BTN2GO rights fees
This post was edited on 3/5/14 at 7:14 pm
Posted by cokebottleag
I’m a Santos Republican
Member since Aug 2011
24028 posts
Posted on 3/6/14 at 8:38 am to
quote:

Apparently, Dish is looking into options to sell the Disney suite of web channels as a stand alone offering. That would be huge because if you could get WatchESPN and ESPN3 (as well as SECN3 or whatever) I'm not sure I'd care if I had cable at all.


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