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re: Ole Miss has the widest potential W-L variance.
Posted on 7/16/13 at 11:19 am to beth(beth(omega))
Posted on 7/16/13 at 11:19 am to beth(beth(omega))
quote:
The most interesting approach is to set a confidence interval for the probabilities in each game and then run a simple Monte Carlo simulation. That would take a fairly straight-forward series of intuitive guesses (in the form of "I am 95% confident that the probability of Ole Miss beating State is between .65 and .8") and produce a probability for each potential record, from 0-12 to 12-0.
Yes, but I think the probabilities would change as each game is not an independent event. How would you account for that?
1
Posted on 7/16/13 at 11:34 am to TxTiger82
quote:
each game is not an independent event
wat?
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