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Trying to make sense of the BCS rankings
Posted on 11/22/12 at 9:02 am
Posted on 11/22/12 at 9:02 am
#10 Florida St. is a 7 point favorite to beat #6 Florida.
Am I the only one who sees the irrationality of this scenario?
Am I the only one who sees the irrationality of this scenario?
10
Posted on 11/22/12 at 9:05 am to King Crimson
Betting lines have nothing to do with rankings. They also have nothing to do with who Vegas thinks will win. All they're about is getting the same amount of money bet on each side.
Posted on 11/22/12 at 9:06 am to King Crimson
Because bookmakers in Vegas aren't retarded, I guess? I think if they were to make a poll it would reflect about the last 3 weeks, not the entire year.
Posted on 11/22/12 at 9:06 am to King Crimson
quote:
#10 Florida St. is a 7 point favorite to beat #6 Florida.
Am I the only one who sees the irrationality of this scenario?
Vegas and the betting public is different than a bunch of lazy sports writers across the country that watch one game a week in their region, and the interns at a coaching staff that make the rankings?
Posted on 11/22/12 at 9:07 am to King Crimson
Somebody been watching Gators offense.
Posted on 11/22/12 at 9:10 am to King Crimson
We so need a playoff this year.
There is no seperation at the top and the schedules were just unfair. LSU's schedule (played FOUR top-10) teams vs OSU or UGA. It's not even fair.
There is no seperation at the top and the schedules were just unfair. LSU's schedule (played FOUR top-10) teams vs OSU or UGA. It's not even fair.
Posted on 11/22/12 at 9:12 am to TeLeFaWx
quote:
quote:
#10 Florida St. is a 7 point favorite to beat #6 Florida.
Am I the only one who sees the irrationality of this scenario?
quote:
Vegas and the betting public is different than a bunch of lazy sports writers across the country that watch one game a week in their region, and the interns at a coaching staff that make the rankings?
I agree. So, by this observation, would you agree that a Vegas odds maker is far more likely to correctly assess comparative team strength than the BCS system?
Posted on 11/22/12 at 9:13 am to paul02085
PS- i hope Gators curb stomp them. 
Posted on 11/22/12 at 9:15 am to AtlantaLSUfan
If we had a playoff this year, LSU wouldn't be in it anyways 
Posted on 11/22/12 at 9:19 am to King Crimson
quote:
I agree. So, by this observation, would you agree that a Vegas odds maker is far more likely to correctly assess comparative team strength than the BCS system?
Of course. The opening line is often more indicative of the actual result as well, unless the line is shifting by some of the higher end gamblers that find lines they know they can exploit. The thing about making even bets is half true. They have juice as an insurance policy, but unbalanced betting on an accurate line always plays in Vegas' favor.
The BCS is also a blend of accomplishment, not ability. Vegas would be favored to lose in Vegas on a neutral field against every team on an even field until they made their way down to A&M. And Johnny Football would arse rape them. So even Vegas isn't completely accurate.
Posted on 11/22/12 at 9:20 am to UFownstSECsince1950
Depends how many teams you goober. We'd be in an 8 team playoff without question. And we very well might be in a 4 team playoff by the end of the season, especially once UF loses this Saturday and drops like a brick into the outback bowl.
Posted on 11/22/12 at 9:21 am to tigerfan4120
Last I checked, there is no plan for an eight team playoff.
Posted on 11/22/12 at 9:24 am to AtlantaLSUfan
quote:
There is no seperation at the top and the schedules were just unfair. LSU's schedule (played FOUR top-10) teams vs OSU or UGA. It's not even fair.
Every team has had hard schedules over the last decade. It rotates and you sound like a crybaby.
Posted on 11/22/12 at 9:25 am to crimsonian
No way reeeeaaallly? Mind blown
Posted on 11/22/12 at 9:27 am to tigerfan4120
Then shut up.
Posted on 11/22/12 at 9:30 am to TeLeFaWx
quote:That's why I watch all the games from 11:00am to the last Pac12 game of the night and if I'm at a Bama home game then I dvr the games I want to go back and watch on Sunday or throughout the week.
Vegas and the betting public is different than a bunch of lazy sports writers across the country that watch one game a week in their region, and the interns at a coaching staff that make the rankings?
After watching all the games and scores you have the eye test and nothing beats the eye test.
Posted on 11/22/12 at 9:37 am to King Crimson
Florida has beaten some good teams this year & not played so well against chump teams. But FSU has really beaten no one of note, except Clemson. UF should win this game.
Posted on 11/22/12 at 9:43 am to AtlantaLSUfan
Stop bitching
quote:
It's not even fair.
Posted on 11/22/12 at 9:44 am to Beer Bryant
Man, Florida winning is going to totally fuuuccckkk the loser of the SECCG
Posted on 11/22/12 at 9:47 am to TeLeFaWx
quote:
The BCS is also a blend of accomplishment, not ability. Vegas would be favored to lose in Vegas on a neutral field against every team on an even field until they made their way down to A&M. And Johnny Football would arse rape them. So even Vegas isn't completely accurate.
Wut?
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