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re: According to Jerry Palm, the chances of Florida making the MNC are 20%
Posted on 11/20/12 at 9:19 am to Alahunter
Posted on 11/20/12 at 9:19 am to Alahunter
quote:
Oregon is out. Their computer avg is 7. That's not changing.
You don't think their computer average would improve with wins over Oregon State and UCLA? If they got to 2 in the polls and 4 in the computers, they could have shot depending on where Florida fell (e.g. voters put ND at 3 and keep Florida at 4).
quote:
If ND was only one spot ahead in the human polls. Fla would jump them. ND will no longer have #1 in the computers if they lose. Likely Fla would.
Not necessarily, if ND was 3 in the computers and 2 in both polls and Florida was 3 in both polls and 1 in the computers it could be very tight.
I'm just saying there are ways to keep Florida out by using a one loss Oregon, ND, and possibly Kansas State in the polls without it looking all that ridiculous (it would be pretty transparent still).
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Posted on 11/20/12 at 9:24 am to elposter
quote:
If they got to 2 in the polls and 4 in the computers, they could have shot depending on where Florida fell (e.g. voters put ND at 3 and keep Florida at 4).
ND would probably jump them in that scenario. No way the get over Bama, Fla or ND in the computers.
quote:
if ND was 3 in the computers and 2 in both polls and Florida was 3 in both polls and 1 in the computers it could be very tight.
It would fall on how many votes each got at the 2 and 3 position. I don't think ND would have a solid enough point avg to hold off Fla.
That's all my personal opinion, and I've admittedly been wrong a time or two before. In the end, I think it's going to end up ND/Bama. But still 2 games to go, so we'll see.
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