re: I think the State-LSU game this Thurs will be a lot like the Arkansas 2010 game

LSU offense commits 2 turnovers in MSU territory which lead to MSU points. MSU doesn't fully capitalize on it though and only scores 10 points. MSU scores one other touchdown and another field goal. Total points for MSU 20.

LSU defense creates one turnover and it leads to a touchdown. LSU is relegated to kicking field goals because it has trouble converting 3rd downs. Drew Alleman misses two field goals but also makes two. LSU also scores on a slip screen and a long run by Odell Beckham.

Going to overtime LSU 20 MSU 20

LSU wins toss and defers.
MSU misses field goal.
LSU makes field goal.

Final LSU 23 MSU 20