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re: Explain the Harsin comparisons to DeBoer with logic.

Posted on 1/20/24 at 1:46 pm to
Posted by FearlessFreep
Baja Alabama
Member since Nov 2009
17388 posts
Posted on 1/20/24 at 1:46 pm to
quote:

Ok, do you think he will have better or worse talent while at Alabama? If he is able to do that much with less talent, why would anyone expect him to do worse with more talent?
because there simply isn’t enough data on which to base a firm conclusion.

the guy has done pretty well, but he’s 49 years old and has exactly 3 years coaching experience at the P5 level, and has never been at the same school through an entire 4-year recruiting cycle.

i feel fairly confident that, if i had asked you a year ago who you considered the top 10 HCs in CFB, he would not have been on your list. as such, you are basing your positive assessment on a single year’s performance. i’m sure Oregon fans were thrilled with Mark Helfrich after his second season as HC too.
quote:

I'm not a time traveler, so maybe he ends up sucking. But I certainly don't see anything that foreshadows it
fair enough, but as you are well aware “sucking” at Bama has completely different implications. i would hazard a guess that if he goes 9-3 and misses the playoffs his first year the number of major contributors to Bama football calling for his head will be greater than zero.

and while there’s nothing to indicate that he’s will “suck” at Bama by any definition, neither is there any evidence that he can build and sustain a program to consistently compete for conference and national championships, because he’s never done so at a level that involves scholarshipped players.
quote:

I've been an Alabama fan for half a century. The expectations have never changed. I know what bad years look like, still the same expectation even if it's obviously far from reach.
and those expectations have spelled disaster for other men who’ve held the job before - most of whom came in with far more major college experience than DeBoer.
quote:

And it can't be much worse than replacing Bear, or going through the early 2000's. The bigger worry is probably boosters being stupid again.
and thats a significant worry, considering the massive expense they have taken on ($12 million buyout to UW + whatever terms promised to DeBoer to get him to jump ship), those boosters will have far less patience for even temporary mediocrity.

as i said, you seem to know a great deal about CFB HC quality. but i’m sure that your assessment of DeBoer’s suitability for the job is based in large part on unfounded optimism. we’ll see if it’s warranted soon enough.
Posted by 3down10
Member since Sep 2014
23000 posts
Posted on 1/21/24 at 2:13 am to
quote:

because there simply isn’t enough data on which to base a firm conclusion.

the guy has done pretty well, but he’s 49 years old and has exactly 3 years coaching experience at the P5 level, and has never been at the same school through an entire 4-year recruiting cycle.

i feel fairly confident that, if i had asked you a year ago who you considered the top 10 HCs in CFB, he would not have been on your list. as such, you are basing your positive assessment on a single year’s performance. i’m sure Oregon fans were thrilled with Mark Helfrich after his second season as HC too.


Limited data, no doubt. He could fail horribly, the topic of this thread was his comparison to Harsin and I am saying the 2 are no where near the same.

He's been a great coach so far, there is no reason to assume he will not be a great coach at Alabama. Meanwhile, Harsin was a terrible coach, with a lot of data showing that before he was hired, so there was no reason to assume he was going to be anything other than a terrible coach at Auburn.

It was always possible something clicked in Harsin and suddenly he became a great coach at Auburn, but it would be a silly assumption IMO. And so I think it is equally as silly to assume DeBoer would suddenly turn into a terrible coach.

So if you are going to go look for a young coach like that, DeBoer checks the boxes. Yes more data is always nice, but most of the guys with more data don't check those boxes.

quote:


fair enough, but as you are well aware “sucking” at Bama has completely different implications. i would hazard a guess that if he goes 9-3 and misses the playoffs his first year the number of major contributors to Bama football calling for his head will be greater than zero.


Alabama boosters have never been that stupid. Every coach is going to get 3 years unless they have major problems. If he loses to Auburn 3 years in a row, then he will be gone. Otherwise, I can't think of a single time in Alabama's history where this is true.

quote:


and those expectations have spelled disaster for other men who’ve held the job before - most of whom came in with far more major college experience than DeBoer.


The biggest disaster came from hiring a DL guy from within to headcoach, and boosters being stupid. And that guy still managed to get win a SEC Championship.

Followed by having to hire another guy with no head coaching experience at all due to Mike Price.

So who are these coaches with more major college experience than DeBoer? I have no idea what in the hell you are talking about. Ray Perkins? He had 0 college football experience and still kept Alabama ranked in the top15 3 out of 4 years.

Bill Curry? Has a split SEC championship. Fired because he couldn't beat Auburn. His major college football experience was a losing record at GT.

Stallings won a NC.

Franchoine bailed, he was a WAC coach before hand. Had a losing record the majority of his career.

So who is this mystery coach with far more major college experience than DeBoer that spelled disaster? Oh wait, not just 1, you said others.

What you are saying just isn't even remotely true. I told you I've been a fan for half a century, I'm not falling for a bunch of BS.

quote:

and thats a significant worry, considering the massive expense they have taken on ($12 million buyout to UW + whatever terms promised to DeBoer to get him to jump ship), those boosters will have far less patience for even temporary mediocrity.

as i said, you seem to know a great deal about CFB HC quality. but i’m sure that your assessment of DeBoer’s suitability for the job is based in large part on unfounded optimism. we’ll see if it’s warranted soon enough.


Everything you've responded with has been untrue and just dumb outside the fact there is limited data, and we will find out soon enough.
This post was edited on 1/21/24 at 2:17 am
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