re: What is your final CFP prediction?

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I think Texas gets left out, and that is a shame; but the PAC 12 love is strong this year

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I think what benefits Oregon over Texas right now is the Ducks have a game where they have an opportunity to beat one of the top four in the CFP rankings. Beating Washington, which I think Oregon most likely will do, is what will elevate them into the final four. Texas on the other hand doesn’t have that top tier game left to improve its standing.