re: Playoff Picture Summarized

quote:

---

I am starting to think the PAC 12 Champ gets in regardless… barring one of them losing this weekend. The committee obviously values 1-loss Oregon ahead of all other 1 loss teams at the moment, and a win over Washington would only solidify that IMO.

Teams that control their own destiny:
Ohio State
Michigan
Georgia
Washington
Oregon
Florida State

A max of just 3 teams can make it from this group in most scenarios, but whoever wins out, goes.

Teams who need help but still have a great shot:

Texas- has to win out and hope for 1 other team to lose between Georgia and Florida State.

Alabama- has to win out and hope for 1 other team to lose between Florida State and Texas

Teams who need help and chances don’t look very good:

1-loss Georgia- needs Florida State AND Texas to lose… would also help to have OSU beat Michigan.

OSU/Michigan loser- needs Georgia to beat Bama and for Florida State AND Texas to lose

Teams that have no shot:

Louisville- even if they win out there is no way ACC champ Louisville goes ahead of 1-loss OSU or Michigan

PAC 12 Title Game loser- no way PAC gets two teams in. A 1-loss Washington does not go ahead of a 1-loss OSU.Michigan loser

Conclusion

There are dozens of scenarios, but it’s actually very cut and dry barring major upsets during rivalry weekend. Here is the order:

1. Big 10 Champ
2. Georgia (if SEC Champ)
3. PAC 12 Champ
4. Florida St (if ACC champ)
5. Texas (if Big 12 champ)
6. Alabama (if SEC champ)
7. Ohio State (if they lose to Michigan)
8. Georgia (if they lose to Bama)
9. Michigan (if they lose to Ohio St)
—— no other teams possible to make cut——
10. PAC 12 loser
11. Louisville if ACC champ

---