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re: Alabama vs LSU
Posted on 10/25/23 at 2:22 pm to aTm boy
Posted on 10/25/23 at 2:22 pm to aTm boy
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Biggest game of the SEC regular season with the division up for grabs and possibly a playoff spot for Alabama. A matchup of the league's #2 offense vs maybe the top defense. I usually favor the defense in these meetings but the modern officiating favors offense over defense. With that said, I'm picking Alabama because of the home-field and the revenge factor.
Your really stepping out there Yell Leader. Since 2007 (First year Little Nicky got to Bama), Alabama has been favored in "every game" vs. LSU by an average of 11.5 points (LSU was favored If I remember correct about 6 or 7 in 2007). LSU won 4 of those games.
I think in the rematch game for the 2012 BCS, they were about a 3 point favorite at kickoff bringing the average point spread to be -11 Bama over LSU.
LSU won 4 of those games outright and covered the spread in 3 others. So you picking Bama is not surprising.
The only ? I have is what will be the spread for this game vs what is the historic average of all games since 2008 (which is -11 Bama).
This post was edited on 10/25/23 at 6:08 pm
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