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re: Any games gonna be impacted by Ian?
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:28 pm to OU Guy
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:28 pm to OU Guy
For the last several days, we've been waiting for model agreement as Ian got closer to Florida. Today, we have that. The GFS and Euro are basically on top of each other putting Ian just west of Tampa. Shifts of this track, can and will change. We'll see if they stay together.
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Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:30 pm to OU Guy
This 12z run of ECMWF HiRes drops Ian by 20 mb after reaching Gulf of Mexico with sub-950 mb storm minimum.
The stalling track offshore hopefully will keep area of 20"-40" away from Florida.
Also, hurricane force winds may remain confined to the coast as Ian meanders far enough offshore.
However, if eyewall scrapes the coast, then a serious threat for 100-mph+ gusts.
Dangerous surge can't be avoided.
The stalling track offshore hopefully will keep area of 20"-40" away from Florida.
Also, hurricane force winds may remain confined to the coast as Ian meanders far enough offshore.
However, if eyewall scrapes the coast, then a serious threat for 100-mph+ gusts.
Dangerous surge can't be avoided.
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