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re: UA Basketball (16-15, 8-10)

Posted on 2/16/20 at 1:57 pm to
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 2/16/20 at 1:57 pm to
I really like where we are with Herb back healthy. I think we've found a way to kind of get through that mental block of close games late, too.

Doesn't mean we'll finish 5-1, because we have flaws, but I don't think it'll be due to the reasons we flaked out in past years.
Posted by CrimsonFever
Gump Hard or Go Home
Member since Jul 2012
18095 posts
Posted on 2/16/20 at 2:03 pm to
Our schedule this year to close out the season seems easier than it has the last few years, this year our tough conference games were loaded at the front of SEC play instead of the end like in years past.

Two years ago especially the stretch we had to end the season was brutal, we had @Kentucky, @Auburn, and Florida in the last 5 games.

I love that we seem to be playing our best ball of the season these last two games instead of getting worse as we go as we seemed to do under Avery. I have no reason to think we won't be playing better in three games than we are now, especially with Herb probably getting healthier as we go.
This post was edited on 2/16/20 at 2:06 pm
Posted by Glorious
Mobile
Member since Aug 2014
26302 posts
Posted on 2/16/20 at 2:06 pm to
Indiana and Minnesota are in the exact same spot as us and lost today. Of course the B1G seems destined to get 12 teams in regardless
Posted by CrimsonFever
Gump Hard or Go Home
Member since Jul 2012
18095 posts
Posted on 2/16/20 at 2:08 pm to
That's BS too, I know they did pretty good OOC but no way they should get 10 or 11 teams in.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 2/16/20 at 2:14 pm to
Alabama women just got absolutely hosed
Posted by CrimsonFever
Gump Hard or Go Home
Member since Jul 2012
18095 posts
Posted on 2/16/20 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

Jordañ Harper
@HarperNation24
·
6h
Alabama jumped from 77% to 90% chance to make the NCAA tournament after their big win yesterday. What’s interesting is the percentage jumped from 82% to 94% chance of making the tournament with 18 wins.


I see Mistaken already posted this before I did, my bad.

Interesting that our % went so high after yesterdays win and is so high if we get to 18. Our tough schedule has a lot to do with that I assume.

This post was edited on 2/16/20 at 2:28 pm
Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
25537 posts
Posted on 2/16/20 at 2:23 pm to
I mean it wasn’t even close. It was clear evidence that the ball was still in her hands. People should be held accountable when a cal is that terrible. A bad loss like that could ultimately be the difference in Curry keeping or losing her job.
Posted by phil4bama
Emerald Coast of PCB
Member since Jul 2011
11882 posts
Posted on 2/16/20 at 2:46 pm to
quote:

That's BS too, I know they did pretty good OOC but no way they should get 10 or 11 teams in.


Especially when all but their top 2-3 teams always seem to make an early exit from the tourney. Their Dance record as a whole, sucks.
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
9348 posts
Posted on 2/16/20 at 3:04 pm to
I think the % chance of making the field increasing so much is mainly because Quad wins were the weakest part of our resume.

That said, my concern is a bit less about another Q1 chance at Ole Miss but that LSU drops now that they're hitting the tougher stretch of their conference schedule.
Posted by CrimsonFever
Gump Hard or Go Home
Member since Jul 2012
18095 posts
Posted on 2/16/20 at 3:47 pm to
LSU should be fine they are a good team and have chances for more resume building wins on the horizon. If they can beat Kentucky at home next week they would move up a lot and are already pretty high.

Winning @Ole Miss wouldn't be a quad one win, winning @Miss State would possibly be depending on how they finish out.
This post was edited on 2/16/20 at 3:48 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 2/16/20 at 3:49 pm to
quote:

Winning @Ole Miss wouldn't be a quad one win


It is creeping up there - Ole Miss is #81 in NET. A road win = Quad 1 if it's #1-75.

Richmond is #47 in NET - would be nice if they finished strong and then beat Dayton in the tournament. Could jump into Top 30 territory.
This post was edited on 2/16/20 at 3:50 pm
Posted by CrimsonFever
Gump Hard or Go Home
Member since Jul 2012
18095 posts
Posted on 2/16/20 at 4:18 pm to
quote:

It is creeping up there - Ole Miss is #81 in NET. A road win = Quad 1 if it's #1-75.



I hope so but they've got Alabama, @Auburn, @Miss St, @Mizzou coming up in their last 6 games, would be pretty tough. If they can win a couple of those then sure but they will probably be an underdog in all of them.

They may be favored vs us but if so it would be like 2 or 3 points.
This post was edited on 2/16/20 at 4:20 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 2/16/20 at 4:22 pm to
quote:

They may be favored vs us but if so it would be like 2 or 3 points.



KenPom currently has it at Alabama -1
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105802 posts
Posted on 2/16/20 at 4:23 pm to
KenPom Remaining Projections
- Alabama (-13) vs Texas A&M (89%)
- Alabama (-1) @ Ole Miss (51%)
- Mississippi St (-3) vs Alabama (38%)
- Alabama (-6) vs South Carolina (71%)
- Alabama (-13) vs Vanderbilt (90%)
- Alabama (-2) @ Missouri (58%)
Posted by CrimsonFever
Gump Hard or Go Home
Member since Jul 2012
18095 posts
Posted on 2/16/20 at 4:32 pm to
Would be so awesome if we can close out the regular season 5 and 1. 6 and 0 isn’t impossible but neither is 4 and 2 or 3 and 3.

I do like that we seem to be playing our best ball of the year these last two games. We get on a run here to end the season and get some confidence going we could definitely do some damage in March.
Posted by CrimsonFever
Gump Hard or Go Home
Member since Jul 2012
18095 posts
Posted on 2/16/20 at 4:46 pm to
I want to crush TAMU by like 20, they ended our tourney chances at our place last year. They need to be paid back.
Posted by Bamafan18
Member since Oct 2018
3692 posts
Posted on 2/16/20 at 4:49 pm to
We would 110% lose to A&M this year if we still had Avery. These games are the ones he always lost. It feels a little different with Oats.
Posted by MontyFranklyn
T-Town
Member since Jan 2012
24298 posts
Posted on 2/16/20 at 4:51 pm to
I can live with 5-1 in these last 6. That's 11-7 in conference
Posted by mistaken4193
Member since Jan 2017
30266 posts
Posted on 2/16/20 at 4:55 pm to
I think Herbs injury is a blessing in disguise for us(other than losing to Arkansas and Tennessee) because he doesn’t have to worry about getting out Ahead of the break and he can solely focus on defense and rebounding. I feel like it’s also inspired the other guys.


I hate I’m doing this to myself but I feel like if we do get in the tourney we have all the makings of a team that usually makes a run. A great PG, 2 sniper sharpshooters, a big that can step out and hit a 3, and now with Herbs injury hopefully an elite rebounder.
Posted by mistaken4193
Member since Jan 2017
30266 posts
Posted on 2/16/20 at 4:56 pm to
No, Avery would have beaten A&M IMO. But he would laid an absolute egg against South Carolina at home
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