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re: tOfficial Alabama Basketball Thread | Now Accepting Transfers l #BuckleUp
Posted on 1/28/16 at 7:58 pm to Chadaristic
Posted on 1/28/16 at 7:58 pm to Chadaristic
Wow. Wait until you see how we lost that one. 
2
Posted on 1/28/16 at 8:09 pm to Chadaristic
I read it had something to do with a late offensive foul.
Posted on 1/28/16 at 9:49 pm to Chadaristic
Did we choke again?
Posted on 1/29/16 at 6:31 am to Bryant91092
quote:
Did we choke again?
We were winning 56-50 with 2:30 left to play and lost 59-56.
We were down 57-56 and Kayla Middlebrook hit a shot with like 1.8 seconds left, but was called for a (slightly controversial) charge so the bucket was waived off. Curry got hit with a tech and we lost.
Posted on 1/29/16 at 6:33 am to Chadaristic
Oregon beat Arizona last night, but ND lost to Syracuse by 15.
Posted on 1/29/16 at 10:00 am to Chadaristic
Any you guys use the RPI wizard?
Posted on 1/29/16 at 10:06 am to Gary Busey
quote:
Any you guys use the RPI wizard?
Oh yea, it's awesome (and probably not right at all, but whatever).
My most likely "best case scenario" is
@ USCe - L
@ State - W
vs Missouri - W
vs A&M - W
@ Florida - L
@ LSU - L
vs State - W
@ Kentucky - L
vs Auburn - W
vs Arkansas - W
@ Georgia - W
1st round - Ole Miss - W
2nd round - A&M - L
That would put us at 19-13 with an RPI of 46. That is squarely on the bubble territory and quite frankly it isn't THAT crazy a scenario in terms of wins and losses. The 2 toughest "wins" I have listed would be vs A&M and @ UGA. Other than that, I think we should win the rest of those games (clearly doesn't mean we will, but wins there wouldn't be 'upsets').
Same except lose @ UGA, beat Vandy R1 and lose to KY R2 puts us at : 18-14, RPI 58
Same except lose at home to A&M : 18-14, RPI 61
Same except beat Vandy, A&M in Tourney, lose to LSU in Final 4 : 20-13, RPI 41
This post was edited on 1/29/16 at 10:11 am
Posted on 1/29/16 at 10:12 am to Cheeky Fellow
Our RPI is going to give us a legit chance down the stretch if we don't botch games with State or Missouri.
We need to take care of business @ State and vs Missouri and we head into the home game with A&M at 13-9 (4-6) with an RPI somewhere around 50. That game would be HUGE. A win and we would be 14-9 (5-6) with a Top 40ish RPI and 4 Top 50 wins heading into @ UF and @ LSU.
We need to take care of business @ State and vs Missouri and we head into the home game with A&M at 13-9 (4-6) with an RPI somewhere around 50. That game would be HUGE. A win and we would be 14-9 (5-6) with a Top 40ish RPI and 4 Top 50 wins heading into @ UF and @ LSU.
Posted on 1/29/16 at 10:54 am to Cheeky Fellow
I've been doing different scenarios every day. It would be a big "If", but I ran it with us finishing 19-11, with key wins over A&M, @UGA, and @LSU. Avoiding any slip ups, with a SOS of 35 and an RPI at 39, we would have a solid chance at the tournament, along with a ton of momentum going into the SEC Tournament.
Again, it's a big IF, but crazy shite happens in CBB.
Again, it's a big IF, but crazy shite happens in CBB.
Posted on 1/29/16 at 11:58 am to Gary Busey
I don't think we can both win all the games we "should" win AND win 1/2 we shouldn't. I wouldn't surprised if we beat A&M at home but lost on the road to State or something.
However, the fact that we really only need 1 or 2 "upset" wins to basically be in the tournament at this point is incredible. If we win the games we should, beat A&M at home and win at UGA, we go into the SECT squarely on the bubble.
One home win over a team about like USCe and a road win over a team equal to us and wins over bad teams at home and we are in the conversation. That's incredible.
However, the fact that we really only need 1 or 2 "upset" wins to basically be in the tournament at this point is incredible. If we win the games we should, beat A&M at home and win at UGA, we go into the SECT squarely on the bubble.
One home win over a team about like USCe and a road win over a team equal to us and wins over bad teams at home and we are in the conversation. That's incredible.
Posted on 1/29/16 at 12:04 pm to Cheeky Fellow
Also, a lot of our OOC opponents are really playing well in their conferences, and their RPI are slowing crawling up.
- Oregon 3 RPI and 6-2 in the P12 (dang it we coulda won that game)
- Xavier 4 RPI and 6-2 in the Big East
- Dayton 9 RPI and 7-1 in the A10
- Wichita is doing what it does, 28 RPI and 9-0 in the MVC
- Notre Dame 46 RPI and 5-3 in the ACC
- Clemson 108 RPI and 6-2 in the ACC
- ULL's RPI is up to 127 and they are 6-3 in the SunBelt
- Winthrop's RPI is up to 170 and they are 7-3 in the Big South
- Norfolk State's RPI is up to 191 and they are 6-1 in the MEAC
- Oregon 3 RPI and 6-2 in the P12 (dang it we coulda won that game)
- Xavier 4 RPI and 6-2 in the Big East
- Dayton 9 RPI and 7-1 in the A10
- Wichita is doing what it does, 28 RPI and 9-0 in the MVC
- Notre Dame 46 RPI and 5-3 in the ACC
- Clemson 108 RPI and 6-2 in the ACC
- ULL's RPI is up to 127 and they are 6-3 in the SunBelt
- Winthrop's RPI is up to 170 and they are 7-3 in the Big South
- Norfolk State's RPI is up to 191 and they are 6-1 in the MEAC
Posted on 1/29/16 at 12:31 pm to Cheeky Fellow
I love what you are bringing to the thread. Some really good info.
Posted on 1/29/16 at 3:38 pm to Chadaristic
Justin Coleman is dealing with a turf toe injury but should be able to play tomorrow LINK
Posted on 1/29/16 at 9:47 pm to Cheeky Fellow
My updated prediction:
@ South Carolina W
@MSU W
vs Missouri W
vs Texas A&M L
@ Florida L
@ LSU L
vs MSU W
@Kentucky L
vs Auburn W
vs Arkansas W
@Georgia W
Sec Tourney Round 1 W
Sec Tourney Round 2 L
Overall Record 19-13 (9-9)
@ South Carolina W
@MSU W
vs Missouri W
vs Texas A&M L
@ Florida L
@ LSU L
vs MSU W
@Kentucky L
vs Auburn W
vs Arkansas W
@Georgia W
Sec Tourney Round 1 W
Sec Tourney Round 2 L
Overall Record 19-13 (9-9)
Posted on 1/29/16 at 10:01 pm to Bamafan15
If we finished like that we'd likely been in First Four out territory. Couldn't be mad about it but boy would we have a few we lost that we'd look back on and gnash teeth.
Posted on 1/29/16 at 10:04 pm to Cheeky Fellow
I thought about that earlier today. Those Oregon and LSU losses really hurt.
Posted on 1/30/16 at 10:04 am to Bamafan15
How much are we going to win by today? 
Posted on 1/30/16 at 11:05 am to Bryant91092
5
Posted on 1/30/16 at 12:02 pm to Bryant91092
We win by one on a buzzer beater or a shot with less than 1.0 on the clock imo.
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