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re: Baseball Polls - May 11
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:05 am to Farmer1906
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:05 am to Farmer1906
quote:
You sure seem to be putting in a lot of stock for a 4 week window while ignoring a large part of the season because it favors your team.
How a team is playing going into the post-season (i.e. last 4-6 weeks) factors much more heavily in seeding than how they looked early in the season.
Unless Arky wins the SEC tourney I don't think they have a shot to host. aTm is on the bubble right now, and will be on the outside looking in unless they sweep OM and make a run in the tourney.
ETA: Referring to aTm as a national seed.
This post was edited on 5/11/15 at 9:07 am
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Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:06 am to Farmer1906
Even with "basically" i still cannot agree at all. They're "basically" a national seed lock. I dont think they're even close to "basically" a lock for the overall #1 seed. Not yet. Maybe if they go 3-1 this week I'll come on board.
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:07 am to bbap
I guess we can agree to disagree.
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:08 am to Farmer1906
but they aren't basically, either
USCe is in a down year but this will be an emotional series for them IMO...and I don't put anything past the voters, I could see LSU anywhere from 1-3 as of right now.
USCe is in a down year but this will be an emotional series for them IMO...and I don't put anything past the voters, I could see LSU anywhere from 1-3 as of right now.
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:08 am to RB10
quote:
aTm is on the bubble right now
Agree and is what I said. I think they're still on the right side for now, but they need to beat OM. I don't think they have to sweep them assuming A&M beats Sam midweek.
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:09 am to Farmer1906
yeah aggies need to finish strong for the super
teams that tailspin at the end of the year aren't as likely to get the benefit of the doubt against a team with the same record that finished hot..obviously for multiple reasons.
teams that tailspin at the end of the year aren't as likely to get the benefit of the doubt against a team with the same record that finished hot..obviously for multiple reasons.
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:10 am to Farmer1906
I dont think A&M has to sweep Ole Miss either to stay on the right side of the national seed bubble. If they win the series i think they would be a national seed if the season ended right there (not counting the conference tourney).
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:10 am to Farmer1906
This four week window is how all teams close the season.
For instance, last week Auburn was a lock for being a regional team. Not so much now. They've got a tough series at Florida this weekend and could very well finish 13-17 in league play or 12-18. Now, they're far from a lock.
Four weeks ago aTm was a shoe in for a national seed. Since, they've lost 3/4 series(2 @ home) and two Big Ten teams have been reeling off wins left and right.
The end of the year means a lot.
For instance, last week Auburn was a lock for being a regional team. Not so much now. They've got a tough series at Florida this weekend and could very well finish 13-17 in league play or 12-18. Now, they're far from a lock.
Four weeks ago aTm was a shoe in for a national seed. Since, they've lost 3/4 series(2 @ home) and two Big Ten teams have been reeling off wins left and right.
The end of the year means a lot.
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:11 am to Farmer1906
quote:
Agree and is what I said
I know, I was agreeing with you.
quote:
I don't think they have to sweep them assuming A&M beats Sam midweek.
aTm is on a bit of a skid and will need a very strong finish to be a national seed IMO. If aTm doesn't have a strong showing vs. OM, and then in the tourney, I think the voters will have a "hotter" team with a slightly lesser resume host.
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:13 am to bbap
quote:
well that's not true. If LSU went 0-6 to finish the season they would not be the #1 national seed. I dont think that would happen, but if it did they wouldnt be #1. Hence not a lock.
Lighten up,Francis. This isn't a court room. Guy finally says something nice about LSU baseball you challenge him and get pedantic knowing full well what he means.
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:15 am to Hawgeye
Right now I like these teams as national seeds(no order)
LSU
Dallas Baptist
Illinois
UCLA
Louisville
TCU
Florida
Miami
LSU
Dallas Baptist
Illinois
UCLA
Louisville
TCU
Florida
Miami
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:21 am to Hawgeye
quote:
Dallas Baptist
This week DBU has a midweek game against Oklahoma State that could go a long way to their seeding. DBU has not beaten anyone with a decent record in a series.
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:24 am to Hawgeye
I still don't see them as a super seed. The RPI is nice and all, but the eye test of looking at a schedule has to come into play here. As of right now, I'd say this as my Top 8 (not that it matters or anyone cares 
):
1. LSU
2. UCLA
3. Louisville
4. Illinois
5. TCU
6. Florida State
7. Texas A&M
8. Florida
Miami and Vandy on the bubble with Dallas Baptist right behind those two.
): 1. LSU
2. UCLA
3. Louisville
4. Illinois
5. TCU
6. Florida State
7. Texas A&M
8. Florida
Miami and Vandy on the bubble with Dallas Baptist right behind those two.
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:25 am to civiltiger07
Baptist is #1 in RPI and has a SOS of 21
They're fine.
They're fine.
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:28 am to Farmer1906
Will be interesting to see how UF and Vandy do this weekend. They are both in position for a national seed but I think only 1 gets it.
LSU, UF, Vandy and aTm are in line for national seeds, likely only 2 end up with 1, but all 4 could make good arguments is especially if Vandy/UF/aTm all win their series.
LSU, UF, Vandy and aTm are in line for national seeds, likely only 2 end up with 1, but all 4 could make good arguments is especially if Vandy/UF/aTm all win their series.
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:29 am to Hawgeye
I don't get how they're still #1. They played TCU HOW LONG AGO?
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:29 am to Hawgeye
quote:
Baptist is #1 in RPI and has a SOS of 21
simply because of the number of away games they played
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:29 am to thunderbird1100
yeah the 6-8 will be very interesting to see
about 7 teams seem to be vying for that spot right now
about 7 teams seem to be vying for that spot right now
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:30 am to thunderbird1100
quote:
LSU, UF, Vandy and aTm are in line for national seeds, likely only 2 end up with 1, but all 4 could make good arguments is especially if Vandy/UF/aTm all win their series.
This is something people need to realize. They aren't going to let 4 SEC teams host, no matter what the records and RPI say. Hell, it's unlikely they will let 3 host.
Posted on 5/11/15 at 9:31 am to civiltiger07
quote:
This week DBU has a midweek game against Oklahoma State that could go a long way to their seeding. DBU has not beaten anyone with a decent record in a series.
It is definitely a curious case. I have followed them fairly closely this year and have been rooting for them. They aren't going to win their conference (non power) and their biggest weekend series win is Bradley, but they have played a who's who midweek including @A&M, @TCU, v TCU, @OU, v OU, @OSU, v OSU. No #1 RPI has even not been a national seed.
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