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Scoring stats analysis (Ole Miss) - too close to call

Posted on 10/4/14 at 11:35 pm
Posted by CGSC Lobotomy
Member since Sep 2011
81611 posts
Posted on 10/4/14 at 11:35 pm
So far the most consistent thing this analysis has done has been to predict how many the LOSING TEAM scores.

Ole Miss scores 9.9 more than their opponents allow and holds their opponents to 18.2 below their scoring average.

Even with today's shitfest, A&M scores 15.8 more than their opponents allow and holds their opponents to 11.3 below their scoring average.

Using A&M's stats: A&M 26, Ole Miss 25
Using Ole Miss' stats: Ole Miss 30, A&M 29

A&M between 26-29
Ole Miss between 25-30

Too close to call.

Using this analysis further and adjusting for home/away (-7 away, +7 home)

Alabama 32, A&M 25 (Alabama win)
A&M 45, ULM 3 (A&M win)
Auburn 37, A&M 23 (Auburn win)
A&M 43, Missouri 16 (A&M win)
A&M 41, LSU 17 (A&M win)


This post was edited on 10/5/14 at 12:34 am
Posted by FleurDeLonestar
The Dirty HOU
Member since Mar 2011
6262 posts
Posted on 10/5/14 at 8:22 am to
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