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Scoring Analysis (Ole Miss)
Posted on 10/18/15 at 3:20 am
Posted on 10/18/15 at 3:20 am
Unfortunately, this week's is pretty definitive, and not in the way we want.
A&M scores 36.5 ppg and allows 24.3 ppg. Against SEC opponents, they score 27 ppg and allow 26.3 ppg.
When compared to opponents' averages, the Aggies allow 4.8 ppg fewer than their opponents average (both SEC and all) and score 11.8 more than their opponents allow (7.7 more than SEC opponents allow).
Using the numbers of all opponents, you get Ole Miss 39, A&M 34 and using SEC numbers, you get A&M 38, Ole Miss 22.
Ole Miss averages 43.6 ppg (26.7 ppg vs. SEC) and allows 22.1 ppg (30.3 vs. SEC).
They score on average 15.9 more than their opponents allow (10.9 vs. SEC) and allow 8.8 fewer than their opponents score (2.2 MORE vs. SEC opponents)
Using the numbers of all opponents, you get Ole Miss 40, A&M 28 and using just SEC opponents, Ole Miss 36, A&M 29.
So, to summarize, you get four results
Ole Miss 40, A&M 28 (Ole Miss win)
Ole Miss 39, A&M 34 (Tossup)
Ole Miss 36, A&M 29 (Tossup)
A&M 38, Ole Miss 22 (A&M win)
So Ole Miss will score between 22-40 points and A&M will score between 28-38 per this model.
2 of the models predict a tossup, 1 an A&M win, 1 an Ole Miss win, but the tiebreaker goes to the favored team in the tossup.
Therefore, Ole Miss wins by at least 1 score.
Here's what the model predicts for the remainder of the season based on current data:
A&M 38, South Carolina 16 (2+ score A&M win)
A&M 37, Auburn 21 (1 score A&M win)
A&M 38, Western Carolina 19 (2+ score A&M win)
A&M 30, Vanderbilt 15 (1 score A&M win)
A&M 35, LSU 33 (tossup)
A&M scores 36.5 ppg and allows 24.3 ppg. Against SEC opponents, they score 27 ppg and allow 26.3 ppg.
When compared to opponents' averages, the Aggies allow 4.8 ppg fewer than their opponents average (both SEC and all) and score 11.8 more than their opponents allow (7.7 more than SEC opponents allow).
Using the numbers of all opponents, you get Ole Miss 39, A&M 34 and using SEC numbers, you get A&M 38, Ole Miss 22.
Ole Miss averages 43.6 ppg (26.7 ppg vs. SEC) and allows 22.1 ppg (30.3 vs. SEC).
They score on average 15.9 more than their opponents allow (10.9 vs. SEC) and allow 8.8 fewer than their opponents score (2.2 MORE vs. SEC opponents)
Using the numbers of all opponents, you get Ole Miss 40, A&M 28 and using just SEC opponents, Ole Miss 36, A&M 29.
So, to summarize, you get four results
Ole Miss 40, A&M 28 (Ole Miss win)
Ole Miss 39, A&M 34 (Tossup)
Ole Miss 36, A&M 29 (Tossup)
A&M 38, Ole Miss 22 (A&M win)
So Ole Miss will score between 22-40 points and A&M will score between 28-38 per this model.
2 of the models predict a tossup, 1 an A&M win, 1 an Ole Miss win, but the tiebreaker goes to the favored team in the tossup.
Therefore, Ole Miss wins by at least 1 score.
Here's what the model predicts for the remainder of the season based on current data:
A&M 38, South Carolina 16 (2+ score A&M win)
A&M 37, Auburn 21 (1 score A&M win)
A&M 38, Western Carolina 19 (2+ score A&M win)
A&M 30, Vanderbilt 15 (1 score A&M win)
A&M 35, LSU 33 (tossup)
This post was edited on 10/18/15 at 3:22 am
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