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Strength of Schedule rankings through week 12

Posted on 11/17/25 at 7:52 pm
Posted by 3down10
Member since Sep 2014
36235 posts
Posted on 11/17/25 at 7:52 pm
Using the FEI ELS metric. Pretty much the only SoS I consider valid since it's not based on averages.

Strength of schedule ratings represent the number of losses a team two standard deviations above average would expect to have against the schedule of opponents (ELS),

Only for games played thus far, doesn't count future games. Listed in order by overall rank, expected losses to the right.

#4 South Carolina 2.35
#5 Florida 2.35
#6 Texas 2.28
#8 Alabama 2.16
#9 Auburn 2.12
#12 Arkansas 1.99
#13 Miss St 1.96
#14 LSU 1.88
#16 Kentucky 1.78
#17 Oklahoma 1.76
#18 Tennessee 1.73
#20 Missouri 1.70
#21 Georgia 1.67
#24 Ole Miss 1.46
#28 Texas A&M 1.40
#32 Vanderbilt 1.32

Other top 10:

#25 BYU 1.45
#26 Indiana 1.40
#30 Notre Dame 1.39
#34 Oregon 1.31
#39 Texas Tech 1.19
#44 Utah 1.12
#59 Ohio St 0.82

Congrats to Texas A&M for no longer having the weakest schedule in the SEC.

Ohio St schedule is pathetic. Not even a full expected loss for an elite team.

Only 2 top 10 teams have played a top20 schedule, Oklahoma and Alabama. Alabama is the only team to play a top10 schedule.

But really, Georgia's and above are pretty close to Oklahoma's.

2025 FEI Ratings (through Week 12)
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