re: Current % chance to make the CFP

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Usc has about an 80% chance

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This is spot on.

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Alabama has a zero percent chance.

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It's not zero but it's somewhere between where they have USC and Tennessee - and closer to Tennessee's number.

For Alabama to be in the conversation LSU, Purdue, and Utah all need to win and trigger mass chaos ala 2007.

That's just not going to happen.