Help me win my office pool

We have a season long office picks game where we select underdogs to win. If an underdog wins, we get the number of points that equal the spread.

I'm down 16 points heading into the championship week. Here are my paths to victory. I get three choices. Obviously, the computer science professor in front of me is probably going to take away the Akron option, but I've included it.

I'm thinking go for option 5 and have North Texas as my third pick which gives me a shot at option 2.

1. Akron over Toledo (16.4%)

2. North Texas over Florida Atlantic (22.5%) PLUS one of the following:

TCU over Oklahoma (40.2%)
Fresno State over Boise State (27.3%)
Memphis over Central Florida (30.6%)
Miami over Clemson (25.2%)

3. Combo of three of the following:

TCU over Oklahoma (40.2%)
Fresno State over Boise State (27.3%)
Memphis over Central Florida (30.6%)
Miami over Clemson (25.2%)
Wisconsin over Ohio State (35.2%)

4. Combo of three of the following:

TCU over Oklahoma (40.2%)
Memphis over Central Florida (30.6%)
Stanford over USC (56.6%)

5. Combo of two of the following:

Fresno State over Boise State (27.3%)
Miami over Clemson (25.2%)

6. Combo of one of the following:

Fresno State over Boise State (27.3%) OR
Miami over Clemson (25.2%)

PLUS one of the following:

TCU over Oklahoma (40.2%) OR
Memphis over Central Florida (30.6%) OR
Wisconsin over Ohio State (35.2%)

PLUS one of the folliowing:

Stanford over USC (56.6%) OR
Georgia over Auburn (49.5%)