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re: The IHME Model is Wrong
Posted on 4/25/20 at 7:28 pm to BHMKyle
Posted on 4/25/20 at 7:28 pm to BHMKyle
quote:we may well hit 80,000 deaths by August, but destroying the country and livelihoods is just not the answer
I think 80,000 fatalities is a conservative estimate, and that's 23% higher than the IHME Model projects. Yes, 15,000 is "way off" if its missing it by at least 23%.... likely higher.
all the data that we are seeing suggests that we have a far higher rate of infection than is being reported anywhere; which also meas a lower mortality rate
I am not suggesting that we should not take this seriously; but more &more I am envious of the way the Swedes have handled things
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