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re: The IHME Model is Wrong

Posted on 4/25/20 at 7:28 pm to
Posted by dcbl
Good guys wear white hats.
Member since Sep 2013
29738 posts
Posted on 4/25/20 at 7:28 pm to
quote:

I think 80,000 fatalities is a conservative estimate, and that's 23% higher than the IHME Model projects. Yes, 15,000 is "way off" if its missing it by at least 23%.... likely higher.

we may well hit 80,000 deaths by August, but destroying the country and livelihoods is just not the answer

all the data that we are seeing suggests that we have a far higher rate of infection than is being reported anywhere; which also meas a lower mortality rate

I am not suggesting that we should not take this seriously; but more &more I am envious of the way the Swedes have handled things
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