re: Who's brilliant idea was it to play Duke as our marquee...

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I understand what you are saying, but they are just tough to accurately gauge. They are 6-3 and yes they have the best collection of 3 losses in the country (Clemson, Auburn, Alabama) but their 6 wins are pretty bad:

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Yeah, I have to respect that. This committee really isn't trying to go on the unknown.

They seem to be going on exactly what your results say. If you struggle against a average or bad team you're punished. If you beat a very good team it is good for you; even more than if you lose a tight game to a bad team.

As you correctly stated A&M have no impressive victories and they struggled with poor teams.