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Stats regarding first few drives of games

Posted on 10/24/17 at 3:19 pm
Posted by slayerxing
Gainesville
Member since Feb 2010
11045 posts
Posted on 10/24/17 at 3:19 pm
I keep hearing that we are better early in the game with scripted plays.

Here are the stats, just for fun this year, comparing UF's first 2 drives in each game to all the others.

(assuming first 2 drives are scripted)

Florida in 2017:

Michigan:
First 2 drives: 9 plays - 44 yards - 3 points
Rest of Game: 44 plays -148 yards - 0 points

Tennessee:
First 2 Drives: 18 plays - 67 yards - 3 points
Rest of Game: 39 plays - 313 yards - 16 points

Kentucky:
First 2 Drives: 8 plays - 53 yards - 0 points
Rest of Game: 55 plays - 342 yards - 28 points

Vanderbilt:
First 2 Drives: 13 plays - 69 yards - 7 points
Rest of Game: 64 plays - 398 yards - 31 points

LSU:
First 2 Drives: 11 plays - 59 yards - 0 points
Rest of Game: 43 plays - 243 yards - 16 points

TAMU:
First 2 Drives: 16 plays - 64 yards - 3 points
Rest of Game: 52 plays - 307 yards - 14 points

Basic math says:
First 2 drives all season: 75 plays, 356 yards, 4.75 Yards per play, 16 points, 22.25 YPP which is BAD
Rest of Game all season: 297 plays, 1751 yards, 5.89 Yards per play, 105 points, 16.68 YPP which is OK

So this idea that UF is better at scripted drives earlier in games is kind of bogus. The first two drives of the game are far worse than what they have done, over the average, throughout the whole season.
Posted by Gatorbait2008
Member since Aug 2015
26763 posts
Posted on 10/24/17 at 3:21 pm to
So the said plays Mac is a part of fail...well...interesting
Posted by TJGator1215
FL/TN
Member since Sep 2011
14174 posts
Posted on 10/24/17 at 3:25 pm to
He just needs more time guys
Posted by slayerxing
Gainesville
Member since Feb 2010
11045 posts
Posted on 10/24/17 at 3:28 pm to
This is not definitive, because we don't know where the scripted plays end. For example, in the UT game there were 15 plays in the first drive. Were those ALL scripted?

Maybe it's just the first 10 plays. In which case, maybe I missed some plays in other games, etc.

But for a snap shot, UF is better later in games than they are in the beginning.
Posted by reel_gator8
Seminole,Fl
Member since May 2012
11060 posts
Posted on 10/24/17 at 5:49 pm to
One reason is that the OL "softens" up the opponent with run plays later in the game. Having 315 lb OL lean on you for a while takes it toll.

We usually then see more of Malik Davis with fresh legs. But teams know we are weak at passing and they are going to stack the box and stop run plays and get us in 3rd and longs. Then you say...well, lets throw on first down..but if its incomplete you are now at 2nd and 10.
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