My take cross posted on AU board.

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat_______________AUB__________MISS
Yards/Play________6.3____________6.3
Points/Play_______0.446__________0.505
Rush Play %______68.75%________45.66%
Pass Play %______31.25%_________54.34%
Completion %____68.12%_________60.27%
3D Conv %_______48.54%_________34.67%
RZ Scoring %_____82.86%_________92.86%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat__________________AUB__________MISS
Opp Yards/Play_______4.7___________5.9
Opp Points/Play_______0.201_________0.421
Opp Completion %____55.17%_______60.79%
Opp 3D Conv %_______29.91%_______38.20%
Opp RZ Scoring %_____68.18%_______88.46%

AU is #3 in country in rushing yards averaging 302.9 per game. In case you didn't hear, we rushed for 543 against Arkansas this past Saturday.

OM is #103 in country in rushing D allowing an average of 225.8 ypg.

PPG
AU: #27 at 35.7 ppg
OM: #22 at 36.8 ppg

Passing YPG
OM: #17 averaging 314.5 ypg

Passing D YPG
AU: #28 allowing 198.3 average ypg

First and foremost, the line opening in OM's favor (-1) scares me. I want to believe it's because of action, but if that were the case I would think AU would open as a huge favorite.

I don't feel as confident about this game as I did the Arkansas game. It could be because I had this circled as a for sure loss up until a couple of weeks ago. This is also our first true road test and Chad Kelly is a damn good QB.

With that said, on paper, we should win this game with a similar plan as the on we used with Arkansas -- run it at them unmercifully.

The test will be our D, namely the DBs, against Kelly. I watched the OM/LSU game and two of their starting O-lineman went down. Not sure the status of the injuries, but that doesn't bode well for Kelly. I think Freeze is an excellent motivator and this could be a dangerous team - one with a nothing to lose attitude.

As long as AU stays focused and isn't distracted by the Arkansas beatdown we should be fine.

If KJ is back, which he should be, I predict both he and KP go for over 100 yards.

AU: 37
OM: 24