re: I changed my mind, Bama will more than likely lose to LSU

Bama is favored for 2 reasons: 4-year winning streak against LSU, and home field advantage. both account for -3 each.

LSU is the better team this year overall and has the better win (Florida is dominant this year).

Hell, even regardless of the LSU vs Alabama winner, I think theres a 30-40% chance Florida wins the SEC championship game with how good theyre playing.

Meanwhile Alabama lost to its only good opponent (ole miss) and has looked pedestrian on offense.

LSU wins. And if LSU doesnt win, LSU will never win, because its not very often a heisman caliber player comes through LSU.

Long-term I hope LSU also wins next year because its at tiger stadium and would help even out the last 4 year run by bama.