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re: Dispelling the myth of "3rd and Chavis"

Posted on 7/29/15 at 12:07 pm to
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55577 posts
Posted on 7/29/15 at 12:07 pm to
Thus one game minute is about 4 mins 13 seconds in real time on average. Which means that a 4 minute difference in TOP equates to nearly 17 minutes in real time.





Oh wow! An additional 17 minutes spread out over 4 hours.


That must surely compensate for LSU's offense not being able to score any points when it matters the most.
Posted by Guava Jelly
Bawston
Member since Jul 2009
11653 posts
Posted on 7/29/15 at 12:13 pm to
Work on your reading comprehension, sweetheart. I'm not talking about scoring offensive points. I'm talking about the notion that the defense is somehow less rested when the offense is not effective.

The numbers bear out that LSU's TOP is consistently among the highest in the league regardless of offensive numbers. And Sumlin's teams consistently have lower TOPs.

So if the excuse for Chavis's inability to put together a good scheme on third downs late in big games is that his defenses are so exhausted, it is doubtful that he'll benefit from a system in which defensive players are on the field more.
Posted by lsufball19
Franklin, TN
Member since Sep 2008
65376 posts
Posted on 7/29/15 at 12:24 pm to
quote:

That must surely compensate for LSU's offense not being able to score any points when it matters the most.

really? Let's take a look at just last year

Wisconsin: LSU offense comes back from being down 24-7 to win 28-24

Florida: LSU takes lead with 2:40 left after a 4 and 30 coversion by Jennings and then a Dural one handed TD reception. Chavis of course blows the lead immediately and should have cost LSu the game, but Florida dropped a wide open pass and had to settle for a FG. He then gets bailed out when a Florida receiver bobbles a pass and Ricky Jefferson picks it off. (Florida was driving (again) inside LSu territory, almost in field goal range). LSU then makes a 50 yard field goal as time expired.

Ole Miss: LSU offense has a 13 play 97 yard drive to take the lead with 5 minutes to go

Texas A&M: LSU is only up 3, deep in their own territory with 6 minutes left. LSU offense drives it down to the A&M 26, takes 4 minutes off the clock, and forces A&M into a situation where they have to score a TD to win
This post was edited on 7/29/15 at 12:30 pm
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