re: Do you think the Civil War was started over slavery?

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Few in the north gave two shits about the slaves themselves.

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Northern states, which had heavily invested in their still-nascent manufacturing, could not compete with the full-fledged industries of Europe in offering high prices for cotton imported from the South and low prices for manufactured exports in return. Thus, northern manufacturing interests supported tariffs

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They cared about getting that tax money from southern planters. If the south said "ok, we will pay higher taxes on exported cotton indefinitely", I don't think the war would have happened when it did.