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re: Aggy lube to help dawgs who've clearly ground to a halt.
Posted on 10/1/14 at 7:45 am to Warrior Poet
Posted on 10/1/14 at 7:45 am to Warrior Poet
I really have no idea, but I can't imagine that enough people from Mississippi bet on the game to change the line.
Posted on 10/1/14 at 7:51 am to DynastyDawg
1) I doubt many people who aren't direct fans are making straight bets on this game. It's a complete toss up and likely one team will run away with it. Most of the bets including this game will likely be parlay bets. So it's not likely that the spread has any real semblance of where Vegas stands on the game.
I doubt a specific fambase will bet just to change a line, but a small minority can change a line that is proven especially in college football.
Never trust a Vegas spread that is less than 3.5 to be an accurate predictor -- it means the game is too close to call so they couldn't even predict a win by a FG, that the team with home field gets a point or two, and that a small minority could have made straight bets and actually moved the line a point or two.
I doubt a specific fambase will bet just to change a line, but a small minority can change a line that is proven especially in college football.
Never trust a Vegas spread that is less than 3.5 to be an accurate predictor -- it means the game is too close to call so they couldn't even predict a win by a FG, that the team with home field gets a point or two, and that a small minority could have made straight bets and actually moved the line a point or two.
This post was edited on 10/1/14 at 7:53 am
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