re: Sorry I was gone so long Auburn Baseball Season Thread

quote:

---

Right Now our record sits at(23-19) and has us going to Hoover. In order for us to be eligible to make a regional we have to be above .500 (i.e. at least 1 more win than losses). This means we need to finish our last 14 games at least (7-7) if we lose both games in Hoover. For every win we get in Hoover that is one more game we can lose before then (roughly).

The following is how I see us needing to go in order to qualify for a regional.

W Apr. 25th- @Arky
L Apr. 26th- @Arky
L Apr. 27th- @Arky
W May 2nd- MSU
W May 3rd- MSU
L May 4th- MSU
W May 6th- Bethune-Cookman
W May 9th- @Kentucky
L May 10th- @Kentucky
L May 11th- @Kentucky
W May 13th- UAB
W May 15th- LSU
L May 16th- LSU
L May 17th- LSU

Obviously if we lose on one of the fridays but win another day in the series were still fine. But we only need to avoid being swept in our final 4 SEC series, win both mid-week games, and win 1 SEC series to be a regional qualifier.

Also Our RPI should improve slightly as we play MSU, UK, and LSU. But we really need to win 3 or 4 more games in order to really help our RPI. We really need to get our RPI to #39 or better to have a shot.

Long Story short. We have a very real chance of qualifying for a regional but probably wont make one unless we go on a tear sometime in the next 5 weeks.

As of right now we are not projected in a regional but here is who is.

---

Hate to bust the bubble of your hard work. Your scenario has us 12-18 in the SEC. No 12-18 SEC team has made a regional in the modern era. You need to find us 2 more wins to get to 14-16 to have a real shot at a regional. Also the target RPI number is 30 or better after the SEC Tourney. We have had a few 14-16 teams with RPIs in the 30s that did not make a regional. Whether we get to 13 or 14 conference wins a post SEC Tourney RPI of 30 or better is a must to feel safe based on past selections.