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re: Ole Miss has the widest potential W-L variance.
Posted on 7/15/13 at 12:45 pm to KaiserSoze99
Posted on 7/15/13 at 12:45 pm to KaiserSoze99
quote:
Vandy 75%
Texas 48%
Auburn 60%
A&M 60%
LSU 55%
State 52%
I think Vandy is at about .6 (don't sleep on them), and the rest are at about .5.
I think these probabilities will change dependent on Ole Miss' early season performance. If the team gels and starts to believe in itself and the system, they could develop their own momentum that increases the chance of victory in any given game.
So a lot hinges on early performances at Vanderbilt and Texas.
Posted on 7/15/13 at 12:57 pm to TxTiger82
quote:
they could develop their own momentum that increases the chance of victory in any given game.
So a lot hinges on early performances at Vanderbilt and Texas.
Actually, one thing I think will help this team is their ability to shake off bad performances. I was entirely surprised by how we played the following weeks after Texas, Vandy, aTm and LSU. We showed ZERO signs of hangovers from bad losses.
This season, we'll rely on that same toughness again. Therefore, I don't think a lot hinges on our performance in the Vandy and UT games. I think we'll be able to bounce back just fine whether we win or lose either game.
I also believe that we WILL gain momentum down the stretch as this team gels. We'll know which freshman can contribute early and we'll have positions set and starters locked in by then. Assuming QB and RB play is consistently above average, we have a VERY strong chance of finishing the 2nd half of the schedule on a 6-0 run. Not to mention 5 of our last 6 are at home.
I happen to think we are set up to win 7 and a bowl game.
2014 is going to be fricking STRONG.
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