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re: Almost SEC baseball season: SEC West predictions
Posted on 12/27/12 at 3:02 pm to BalladofBradSowell
Posted on 12/27/12 at 3:02 pm to BalladofBradSowell
quote:
Because LSU was the anomaly in 2012...
You're still not hearing me. It's not uncommon for the second-fourth place team in the league to lead the conference in runs.
Historically, clutch hitting with men in scoring position is the number one difference between winning the conference and finishing second.
Since LSU has won the west more times than anyone else in the last five years, this should be expected.
1
Posted on 12/27/12 at 3:20 pm to TigersOfGeauxld
quote:Which is the reason for this type of analysis. Most SABR analysts will tell you the "clutch" variable is extremely overrated if not a myth all together. One of the main reasons in comparing theoretical runs and actual runs is to gain a quantitative measurement of "luck" so that it can accounted for in assessments. It is always possible that there are additional variables that are going unaccounted for, but it's unlikely. If I have time after work I can run LSU's past few seasons to show you 2012 is not part of a trend.
Historically, clutch hitting with men in scoring position is the number one difference between winning the conference and finishing second.
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