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re: Major tornado outbreak expected tomorrow

Posted on 3/1/12 at 4:08 pm to
Posted by Ball Gravy
Houston, TX
Member since Aug 2008
2985 posts
Posted on 3/1/12 at 4:08 pm to
Yes.

Tornadic storms like to begin in relatively uncapped air with at least sufficient CAPE to get an updraft to survive without being blown too far over by the deep layer vertical wind shear. The lack of CIN allows air parcels to rise from the near the ground into a convective updraft with relative ease producing what we call surface-based convection.

You get surface based convection in these heating storms, whereas you get these deep layers as a boundary or fronts approach and these tornadic cells in the squall line tend to be short lived and weaker.
Posted by Ball Gravy
Houston, TX
Member since Aug 2008
2985 posts
Posted on 3/1/12 at 4:12 pm to
Another thing... squall lines tend to be positively tilted storms whereas discrete tend to be negatively titled storms.

Negatively tilted storms allow more updraft that is perpendicular to the surface (creating shear) whereas positively tilted storms have a parallel wind field (straight line winds)

FYI... here are their meteorological society explanations.

NEGATIVE TILTED TROUGH- A trough which tilts from the northwest toward the southeast. This situation creates instability since cold temperatures in the mid and upper levels advect over warmer air at the surface. A negative tilt is a sign a trough is mature.

POSITIVE TILTED TROUGH- A trough which tilts from the northeast toward the southwest. Often a trough is positive tilted in it's development stage.

From: National Weather Service:

Negative-Tilt Trough: An upper level system which is tilted to the west with increasing latitude (i.e., with an axis from southeast to northwest). A negative-tilt trough often is a sign of a developing or intensifying system.

Positive-Tilt Trough: An upper level system which is tilted to the east with increasing latitude (i.e., from southwest to northeast). A positive-tilt trough often is a sign of a weakening weather system, and generally is less likely to result in severe weather than a negative-tilt trough if all other factors are equal.
This post was edited on 3/1/12 at 4:19 pm
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