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re: LSU/Arkansas Game Prediction Thread
Posted on 11/20/11 at 11:02 am to EST
Posted on 11/20/11 at 11:02 am to EST
Not sure when Vegas odds come out, but just looking at how this is set up, give LSU -3.5 at home, plus when reviewing points scored vs. Points allowed in SEC games. Arkansas has scored 10 more points than LSU (1.43 ppg), but LSU has held opponents to 50 total points while Arky has allowed 153, a point differential of 14.7 ppg.
14.7 - 1.43 + 3.5 = 16.77 difference on average.
But Vegas will likely open at LSU -8.5, which I will jump on because I see it:
Tigers 31 - 17
14.7 - 1.43 + 3.5 = 16.77 difference on average.
But Vegas will likely open at LSU -8.5, which I will jump on because I see it:
Tigers 31 - 17
1
Posted on 11/20/11 at 4:12 pm to HubbaBubba
quote:
Not sure when Vegas odds come out, but just looking at how this is set up, give LSU -3.5 at home, plus when reviewing points scored vs. Points allowed in SEC games. Arkansas has scored 10 more points than LSU (1.43 ppg), but LSU has held opponents to 50 total points while Arky has allowed 153, a point differential of 14.7 ppg.
14.7 - 1.43 + 3.5 = 16.77 difference on average.
But Vegas will likely open at LSU -8.5, which I will jump on because I see it:
Tigers 31 - 17
I don't necessarily agree with your conclusion, but it sure is nice to see that someone put some work into the answer.
I, however, am a homer, and can't show logically why I think Arky will win this one 28 - 27. I just gotta believe...
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