re: A guy at the bar last night tried to tell me Burrow was gonna be a flop

Burrow will have a rough time, (initially) because of a couple of reasons:

1) Rookie

2) The Bengals

I hope his body holds up enough and he can move to a better team when his rookie contract ends, OR, the Bengals actually get better.

If I were a betting man, I'd go "all-in" on the first.

Cincinnati has been, historically, one of the worst franchises in the league. Their record between 2010-2019 was 77-77 with five first round playoff losses.

Please note - That is considered great by Mike Brown (owner and CEO and son of legendary Paul Brown) "standards".

Here's a snippet from Wikipedia:

Since Brown became owner, the team has had 7 winning seasons out of 27 and has a winning percentage of .414 (182-255-2) in the regular season and .000 (0-7) in the playoffs.[24] In 2008, the Bengals set a record for the most games needed under one specific owner to attain 100 wins (288). In 2010, the team set a record for the fewest games needed to lose 200 (both considering and not considering playoffs) under one specific owner (314).[25]

The Bengals hold a number of distinctions for the time frame of Brown's ownership: It is the only team with three nine-game-or-more losing streaks.[26] It also holds six of the twenty-five 0-6 starts (24%)[27] and four of the thirteen 0-8 starts (31%) in that time.[28]

The Bengals have gone winless in October nine different times in twenty-two years under five different head coaches (Sam Wyche, the first under his ownership, was originally hired by Paul Brown).

Additionally, the team has obtained the NFL's longest active drought for playoff wins during his tenure, with their last playoff win occurring the year before Brown became owner in 1990.

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He will need a LOT of help. Not saying he can't do great things, but HELP. (Here's some team stats, to include sacks): LINK

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Good luck Joe. I wish you well.