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re: OT - DNC Imploding

Posted on 8/1/16 at 8:08 pm to
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora, Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
63886 posts
Posted on 8/1/16 at 8:08 pm to
quote:

The difference is when the market tanks...and it will....the return in the UL policy is stopped at 0%. Ie you don't lose half your shite.


That's equity, and is meaningless until you sell. In fact, market fluctuations are absolutely necessary when you are a monthly contributor type of investor. That's how you get the 7% average. It's not because the market goes up 7% every year. It's because your fund manager buys low and sells high.

You know this. I'm just typing it for the sake of other schmucks who may be reading this.


quote:

As beef said though you have to get the numbers right for it to work....


Cest La Vie




quote:

and the market on average still has to give you the 7% or better average return.


Equity... sure... but income funds with div reinvestment aren't dependent on equity.



And the flexibility... lets say 8 years into my annuity life insurance scheme from Beefdawg, I decide I want to get into real estate because the RE market crashes again, I am still locked into my investment contract or I lose everything I've already put in for the previous 8 years.

Or maybe I get laid off and spend 6 months getting back on my feet, and can't make my contracted contributions.... with BeefDawg's plan, I'm fricked.


I'm also a financial expert. My financial advice is don't frick around with BeefDawg or Squatchdawg annuities or life insurance or anyone who uses the words "investment" and "insurance" in the same paragraph, unless you already have more money than you know what to do with.

You've already maxed out your 401k. You are already maxing out your Roth. You are already maxing out your traditional IRA. Your house is paid off, you carry no debt, and you still have money coming out of your arse.... and you need a tax shelter for the long term...

Then call up Beefdawg... he'll fix you up real good.
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
14162 posts
Posted on 8/1/16 at 8:32 pm to
I agree with you. I think his point was its just another piece of the puzzle.

We've been sold a bill of goods that diversification means the right mix of bond and equity funds. The older I get I realize that diversification means a mix of funds, blue chip dividend payers, insurance, land, rental property, gold, guns, food, baseball cards; etc.

Posted by BeefDawg
Atlanta
Member since Sep 2012
4747 posts
Posted on 8/1/16 at 8:42 pm to
You're illustrating yours with a 5% average with no downside protection built in and I just don't see that happening over the next 20 years. Not with the bubble we're in and the correction that's inevitable sooner than later at this point.

The IUL I'm talking about has a 0% floor. The market can do -20% and my account does 0%. That's why it's so easy for me to illustrate 7%. The market isn't going to have 20 straight years of loss. So I'll get to capitalize on the gain years up to 17% and ignore the bad years.

If I'm illustrating 7% with a 0% floor, there's no way you're averaging 5%. If you did average 5%, I'd be averaging quite a bit more than 7%.

And again, I diversify my client's accounts by investment vehicle, not just holdings. We'll do IUL, annuity, non-traded REIT, non-traded BDC, Roth, traditional IRA, and regular non-qualified brokerage. Then inside the ones that are in the market, we'll do your typical bonds, equities, mutual funds, and ETF's.

I would never recommend tossing all your eggs into one basket (or investment vehicle).

The annuities have "guarantees" (GMIB/GMWB). They're the only vehicle with true guarantees. Most of them are around 5-6% right now, but I have one that does a floating rate based on libor between 4-8% guaranteed as well. Plus I have one that has a 0% floor and 12% cap with daily high watermark lock-ins, but no GMIB.

Also, you do not have to annuitize any of these annuities to begin taking your income. You can turn the income faucet on and off as you like when you like. If you take more than your GMWB, it will of course reduce your principle relatively. If you only take up to your GMWB, you will have that income value for the rest of your life.

The non-traded REIT's and BDC's don't have guarantees, but they are 0% correlated to the market. The REIT's are based on rents and lease cap rates on physical properties owned by the REIT. The BDC's are based on senior secured loan cap rates. Both of these float with interest rates. So if we go into hyper-inflation mode, these things do even better because they're based on real world costs and not market sentiment.
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora, Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
63886 posts
Posted on 8/1/16 at 8:59 pm to
quote:

m illustrating 7% with a 0% floor, there's no way you're averaging 5%. If you did average 5%, I'd be averaging quite a bit more than 7%


Ever heard of an income fund?

See, there's these big stocks out there like ATT and Ford and Southern Company that pay dividends, and you can like, like, like buy their stocks and they pay you dividends, and like, you can go on google finance and look up what the dividend yield is, and it is expressed as an interest rate, like, you know.

So like yeah, you can totally get into income funds that are built around high dividend stocks and make 5% easy, like, really easy.

Yeah, like, equity goes up and down, and like, the equity isn't part of my equation.

How do you sleep at night?
Posted by BeefDawg
Atlanta
Member since Sep 2012
4747 posts
Posted on 8/1/16 at 9:22 pm to
quote:

And the flexibility... lets say 8 years into my annuity life insurance scheme from Beefdawg, I decide I want to get into real estate because the RE market crashes again, I am still locked into my investment contract or I lose everything I've already put in for the previous 8 years.

Or maybe I get laid off and spend 6 months getting back on my feet, and can't make my contracted contributions.... with BeefDawg's plan, I'm fricked.

That's not close to true.

First of all, an annuity and cash value life insurance are two completely separate and very different investment vehicles.

You say you're a financial expert, but you just said several things that aren't true at all.

These are not binding contracts for you. Every one of these investments can be liquidated/surrended and either all, or nearly all of your contributions returned. Plus gains depending on when surrendered.

Not to mention all of them have a free 10% withdrawal per year without penalties or fees of any kind. And they all have hardship provisions for things like extended illness or loss of employment where you can withdraw 50% in any year without penalty.

The annuities also have a decreasing penalty period of 7 years. 7%, 7%, 6%, 6%, 5%, 4%, 3%. After that, you can take 100% without any penalties. They also give you the better of your market gains or your guarantee and then locks that in as your new base.

For example, if you put $100,000 in, and the market does 10%, you have $110,000 in there beginning year two. Now in year two, if the market does -10%, your $110,000 goes to $116,600 (guaranteed +6%). Again, the higher of.

And if something crazy happens in your life in year three, and you want to surrender the policy, you can. You would simply pay a 6% penalty. You'd walk away with $109,600 instead of $116,600. And as I said, that penalty goes down each year and is gone after year 7. In year 8 if you want to cash in the whole thing, you get 100%, including all your growth.


As for the life insurance, it's very similar with a decreasing surrender penalty, except a portion of your premiums have of course gone towards a death benefit amount, so there is certainly potential early on of getting back less than you paid in. But that's typically not the case after year 4. Once you hit year 5 in these things, your gains have usually well surpassed your premiums paid in. And if you chose to cash it out, you'd get all your money back and then some.

So be careful what you say about this stuff if you don't know exactly what you're talking about. You just gave a lot of misinformation and could cause people to make misinformed decisions.
Posted by BeefDawg
Atlanta
Member since Sep 2012
4747 posts
Posted on 8/1/16 at 9:34 pm to
Why are you suddenly so condescending and rude?

You obviously have no idea how annuities or cash value life insurance works.

Inside each of these annuities and the IUL's, you can invest in income funds. Funds of funds managed by money managers like maybe Blackrock or First Eagle, or even specific funds that only hold preferreds (you know, dividend paying stocks).

There's a reason I call these "vehicles". Nearly everything you can invest in inside a ROTH, I can do something similar inside an annuity of cash value life policy.

You need to remember that I'm approaching this as if the market is going to have a big correction soon.

If the market goes from 18,000 to 9,000, and you got IN at 18,000, you're not going to average 5% over the next 10 years.

You sure you're a financial "expert"?
Posted by Whiznot
Albany, GA
Member since Oct 2013
6998 posts
Posted on 8/1/16 at 10:30 pm to
Fees can devour principal. So how many intermediaries do you want between you and the earnings stream. Equities then funds of equities then funds of funds then an investment advisor who places you in funds and might be compensated by those funds.

A person spends a lifetime earning money. Countless hours, days, weeks, months and years. Spend the time necessary to learn how to invest wisely. Investing isn't rocket science. Read Graham and Dodd. Start reading annual reports and concentrate on yearly results instead of quarterly. Pay special attention to the notes to financial statements. Equity diversification can be accomplished by owning positions in as little as five companies.

In the final analysis, the only person you can trust is yourself and no other person is as motivated to protect your interests as you are.
Posted by BeefDawg
Atlanta
Member since Sep 2012
4747 posts
Posted on 8/1/16 at 11:01 pm to
In 2008, all my clients made between -3% and +6% while the market lost 37%.

Anyone who was 100% in the market in 08 with no downside protection investments and no non-correlated investments lost their arse.

I don't have a single client who isn't still reaching the goals we designed for them on day one of creating their portfolio. All my clients are significantly ahead of their friend's who were 100% in the market when the crash hit.

You guys can act like financial advisors aren't worth it and you can do better on your own if you want, but it's pretty reckless to suggest that's feasible for everyone. Especially when we're in a bubble and overdue for a correction.
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora, Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
63886 posts
Posted on 8/2/16 at 4:31 am to
If your vehicles return 7%, and there is no catch, then why not put up some billboards and a 1-800 number, and fire all the salesmen? The phone would be ringing off the hook. You wouldnt be able to keep up with the orders.

"You have to get the numbers right"
"No guarantee"
"Locked in"

Bank of America could put up the same billboard at just 3% and every branch would be mobbed.
Posted by BeefDawg
Atlanta
Member since Sep 2012
4747 posts
Posted on 8/2/16 at 7:49 am to
You have to be underwritten and healthy to qualify for life insurance. Plus age is a big factor as well as duration and amount of contributions.

And FINRA and the SEC don't let you illustrate estimated average non-guaranteed returns on billboards or media.

These things are not a one size fits all. There are factors that go into them that determine their viability. You can't blanketly advertise something to everyone when only 1 in 4 might qualify and have a 20+ year time horizon.

You seem to be wanting to discredit this and I don't get why. This is simply one small piece of a portfolio puzzle that I use. It's a tool that provides downside protection in a volatile or recessing market.

If you don't get the importance of putting portions of your portfolio in products with downside protection, guarantees, and non-correlated assets when a potential large downswing or correction is looming, then just stew in your own ignorance and don't desparage me because of it.

You and your wife can go toss $1,000/month each into Roth's and get your arse kicked when the market tanks. I'm going to continue advising folks that there are investment vehicles out there that can protect you from volatility and huge losses.
This post was edited on 8/2/16 at 7:52 am
Posted by GurleyGirl
Georgia
Member since Nov 2015
13163 posts
Posted on 8/2/16 at 8:14 am to
Guys, this thread pretty much devolved into a financial investment argument. Get a room.
Posted by Whiznot
Albany, GA
Member since Oct 2013
6998 posts
Posted on 8/2/16 at 12:04 pm to
I think October is going to blow minds. Wikileaks is primed to dump a load of shite on Hillary's head just prior to the election. You can be sure that load of shite will also be dropped on Trump's head. shite lovers, rejoice.
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