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Breaking down a "successful season" by the schedule
Posted on 6/26/17 at 5:45 am
Posted on 6/26/17 at 5:45 am
We've had 8,000 discussions on what we all think Kirby needs to do win totals-wise this year and what the program needs to accomplish in whatever time frame, so that's not what I'm talking about here.
I'm talking straight schedule. How do you believe Georgia has to split the schedule for you to call the season a success?
Here's how I see it. The season is basically in 2 parts split by the BYE week
Part 1:
App State
@Notre Dame
Samford
Miss St
@Tennessee
@Vanderbilt
Mizzou
Part 2:
Florida
South Carolina
@Auburn
Kentucky
@Georgia tech
For me to call the year a full success, I think we have to limit it to one loss per part. In other words, in part one split the Notre Dame and Tennessee games and have to win against App St, Samford, MSU, Vandy and Mizzou. In part 2, split the Florida and Auburn games an have to beat SCar, Kentucky and tech.
That's 10-2, which I know seems strict, but if you really break down the schedule I think is very fair. That should win the East and if it doesn't, it would be because Tennessee or Florida is having an 11-1 type of year, in which case I could live with not winning the East.
I'm talking straight schedule. How do you believe Georgia has to split the schedule for you to call the season a success?
Here's how I see it. The season is basically in 2 parts split by the BYE week
Part 1:
App State
@Notre Dame
Samford
Miss St
@Tennessee
@Vanderbilt
Mizzou
Part 2:
Florida
South Carolina
@Auburn
Kentucky
@Georgia tech
For me to call the year a full success, I think we have to limit it to one loss per part. In other words, in part one split the Notre Dame and Tennessee games and have to win against App St, Samford, MSU, Vandy and Mizzou. In part 2, split the Florida and Auburn games an have to beat SCar, Kentucky and tech.
That's 10-2, which I know seems strict, but if you really break down the schedule I think is very fair. That should win the East and if it doesn't, it would be because Tennessee or Florida is having an 11-1 type of year, in which case I could live with not winning the East.
10
Posted on 6/26/17 at 5:50 am to BranchDawg
I'd sign up for your scenario of 10-2, because that most likely means a trip to the SECCG. This team was jekyl and hyde in 2016. Looked good against UNC, Auburn, UT (for 59 mins), but on the flip side played like dawg shite against Nichols, Vandy, Tech, and Florida. The point I'm trying to make is that's UGA needs to find some consistency. The talent is there, but our coaching is still an unknown.
Posted on 6/26/17 at 5:58 am to Glory, Glory
quote:
UGA needs to find some consistency.
This is a great point. If they play with that consistency, I'm pretty confident they will go 10-2 or better. We just have to put a stop to these damn trap losses like the Vandy and tech games from last year.
Posted on 6/26/17 at 6:06 am to BranchDawg
It's crazy to look back at the loses to Tech, Vandy and UT. UGA clearly was the better team, so they weren't far off from 10-2
I guess the argument would be to revisit Mizzou, Nichols, and maybe Kentucky to understand how fortunate we were for an 8-5 record. Again, consistently inconsistent.
I guess the argument would be to revisit Mizzou, Nichols, and maybe Kentucky to understand how fortunate we were for an 8-5 record. Again, consistently inconsistent.
Posted on 6/26/17 at 7:12 am to Glory, Glory
quote:
they weren't far off from 10-2
I guess the argument would be to revisit Mizzou, Nichols, and maybe Kentucky to understand how fortunate we were for an 8-5 record.
In the spirit of transparency, thank you for following through with the latter.
This post was edited on 6/26/17 at 7:13 am
Posted on 6/26/17 at 7:15 am to BranchDawg
quote:
Part 1: App State
@Notre Dame
Samford
Miss St
@Tennessee
@Vanderbilt
Mizzou
None of these teams in part 1 are as good as UGA "should" be this year.
Part 2: Florida
South Carolina
@Auburn
Kentucky
@Georgia tech
If we go 10-2 I see both losses coming in part 2. Depending on how we play we could lose to any of these teams
This post was edited on 6/26/17 at 7:18 am
Posted on 6/26/17 at 7:28 am to BreezyDawg
quote:
Depending on how we play we could lose to any of these teams
I'm sorry, but there should be no way in hell we drop a late season home game to South Carolina or Kentucky. Completely unacceptable IMO. Tech is a better team and it's on the road, but you can NOT lose your first two games against tech as a Georgia coach.
Posted on 6/26/17 at 8:02 am to BranchDawg
quote:
there should be no way in hell we drop a late season home game to South Carolina or Kentucky
I agree, but there should've been no way we lost to Vandy last year at home either.
Posted on 6/26/17 at 8:56 am to BreezyDawg
quote:
but there should've been no way we lost to Vandy last year at home either.
I agree, but we're talking about defining a "successful" season. That's why I said there should be no way any of those teams beat us.
Posted on 6/26/17 at 9:57 am to BranchDawg
10-2 and winning the East will be a successful season.
Part 1:
App State - W.
@Notre Dame - W. I don't buy the ND hype. We are much more talented, physically gifted, and should have the proper motivation to go in there and knock their teeth out. I expect at least a touchdown margin of victory for the dawgs.
Samford - W.
Miss St - W. This could be a tricky game. They are a decent team with a QB that can make plays. We are definitely the better team but I can see this being one of those sneaky noon games that gives us trouble.
@Tennessee - Toss up.
@Vanderbilt - W.
Mizzou - W.
Part 2:
Florida - W. I have a feeling we beat the gators in Jax. I don't have any good reason to believe this other than a sheer gut feeling that this team is tired of getting their arse beat and is ready to rise up and play good football against them.
South Carolina - W. South Carolina is probably a year away from causing serious problems and having them at home should give us a big advantage.
@Auburn - L. My gut feeling is that Auburn finally puts it together against us and beats us in Jordan-Hare. Teams will be evenly matched but their home field advantage will give them an edge over us kind of like what happened last year.
Kentucky - W.
@Georgia tech - Toss up. Triple Option
Part 1:
App State - W.
@Notre Dame - W. I don't buy the ND hype. We are much more talented, physically gifted, and should have the proper motivation to go in there and knock their teeth out. I expect at least a touchdown margin of victory for the dawgs.
Samford - W.
Miss St - W. This could be a tricky game. They are a decent team with a QB that can make plays. We are definitely the better team but I can see this being one of those sneaky noon games that gives us trouble.
@Tennessee - Toss up.
@Vanderbilt - W.
Mizzou - W.
Part 2:
Florida - W. I have a feeling we beat the gators in Jax. I don't have any good reason to believe this other than a sheer gut feeling that this team is tired of getting their arse beat and is ready to rise up and play good football against them.
South Carolina - W. South Carolina is probably a year away from causing serious problems and having them at home should give us a big advantage.
@Auburn - L. My gut feeling is that Auburn finally puts it together against us and beats us in Jordan-Hare. Teams will be evenly matched but their home field advantage will give them an edge over us kind of like what happened last year.
Kentucky - W.
@Georgia tech - Toss up. Triple Option
This post was edited on 6/26/17 at 9:59 am
Posted on 6/26/17 at 10:30 am to BranchDawg
quote:
We've had 8,000 discussions on what we all think Kirby needs to do win totals-wise this year and what the program needs to accomplish in whatever time frame,
quote:
so that's not what I'm talking about here.
It's not?
quote:
How do you believe Georgia has to split the schedule for you to call the season a success?
As opposed to going 10-2 or 11-1 or 8-4?
quote:
For me to call the year a full success
quote:
That's 10-2
quote:
How do you believe Georgia has to split the schedule for you to call the season a success?
quote:
split the Notre Dame and Tennessee games
quote:
split the Florida and Auburn games
quote:
We've had 8,000 discussions on what we all think Kirby needs to do win totals-wise this year
quote:
I'm talking straight schedule
WTF
Posted on 6/26/17 at 1:49 pm to BranchDawg
Given the schedule, 10-2 is what I would consider a successful season. This team has the talent (with this schedule) to be an 11 win team if everything comes together nicely but I doubt it will happen. If I had to guess, I'd say we will drop games at Auburn and pick up an unexpected loss (not against Tennessee / Florida / Tech).
Posted on 6/26/17 at 2:21 pm to Fats
10-2 should be the bar... Unfortunately until I see otherwise I can definitely see at least one more loss...
I'mma thinking 9-3 with 1 loss outta conference and getting to the SECCG at 6-2 on a tie breaker...
Prolly finish 10-4 like '11...
I'mma thinking 9-3 with 1 loss outta conference and getting to the SECCG at 6-2 on a tie breaker...
Prolly finish 10-4 like '11...
Posted on 6/26/17 at 3:00 pm to BranchDawg
part1...undefeated. Not sure why errbody in here is scared of Tennessee...their main threats to us are gone.
part2....we drop 1...maybe 2...no way we lose to Tech...I actually think we play them better at Bobby Dodd Stadium..I'll be looking to get tickets for that one....
my biggest fear - FLORIDA
part2....we drop 1...maybe 2...no way we lose to Tech...I actually think we play them better at Bobby Dodd Stadium..I'll be looking to get tickets for that one....
my biggest fear - FLORIDA
Posted on 6/27/17 at 7:11 am to BranchDawg
I would like to see Chubb and Sony make it through injury free...Eason improve...beat SC...and I get to attend a game or two where we win.
That's a successful season for me.
That's a successful season for me.
Posted on 6/27/17 at 7:22 am to SquatchDawg
Undefeated going into Fla game. We win that, we go 11 - 1 (Auburn), we lose that and we go 9 - 3, Fla, Auburn and Yeah the losses.
If Kirby develops a penchant for losing to yeah, his stay will be a short one.
If Kirby develops a penchant for losing to yeah, his stay will be a short one.
Posted on 6/27/17 at 8:06 am to WhopperDawg
I hate losing to yeah
Posted on 6/27/17 at 12:00 pm to BranchDawg
I think the dawgs are better than all 7 teams before the bye. So does coaching and focus improve and get it to 7-0, it needs to.
By the time WLOCP gets here the line should no longer be inexperienced and JE should have complete control of the offensive game, no more rookie mistakes. If this isn't the case its not 7-0 its 5-2. And lord knows how the second falls; could be off a cliff.
If everything has improved and went as planned at 7-0, then there is no reason not to at least go 4-1 min down the stretch.
10-2 should be worse case scenario imo, 11-1 should be realistc. I haven't looked at vegas but I would imagine UGA is the favorite against ND & UT and at worse 1 point dog to either UF or AU if not favored.
By the time WLOCP gets here the line should no longer be inexperienced and JE should have complete control of the offensive game, no more rookie mistakes. If this isn't the case its not 7-0 its 5-2. And lord knows how the second falls; could be off a cliff.
If everything has improved and went as planned at 7-0, then there is no reason not to at least go 4-1 min down the stretch.
10-2 should be worse case scenario imo, 11-1 should be realistc. I haven't looked at vegas but I would imagine UGA is the favorite against ND & UT and at worse 1 point dog to either UF or AU if not favored.
This post was edited on 6/27/17 at 12:01 pm
Posted on 6/27/17 at 12:04 pm to 3rddownonthe8
quote:
UGA is the favorite against ND & UT and at worse 1 point dog to either UF or AU if not favored.
Nope we are the underdog in all 4 games
Posted on 6/27/17 at 1:12 pm to BreezyDawg
So is there a linc. Or you just guessing? Cause I haven't found one
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