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re: Week 1 Sportsbook Lines on Key Games

Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:38 am to
Posted by BoarEd
The Hills
Member since Oct 2015
38862 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:38 am to
The biggest question mark of all to me is Kirby Smart.
I know people like to think that he is a great coach, but nobody knows what sort of game manager he will be as a coach. For all anyone knows, he may be a Les Miles level retard when it comes to clock management.

It's just not a good bet.

However, UGA should be able to rush for about 500 yards against UNC. They are NOT GOOD at stopping the run. At all.
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32021 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:40 am to
auburn +7.5
tx am -2.5
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:41 am to
If I had to bet on each.

I wouldn't touch most of these though on opening weekend.

quote:

Notre Dame Vs Texas: Texas +3.5

Clemson Vs Auburn: Auburn +7.5

Alabama Vs USC (The Real One): USC +11

UGA Vs UNC: UNC +2.5

Texas A&M Vs UCLA: UCLA +2.5

Oklahoma Vs Houston: Houston +10

FSU Vs Ole Miss: Ole Miss +4.5




ETA:

Reasoning:


Notre Dame has had some turmoil and I think Strong and Texas improve a good amount this year. It’s also in Austin.

Clemson has Deshaun Watson and Auburn has Kevin Steele’s pass defense.

Alabama is really fricking good every year and USC does not have depth and an average coach.

UGA/UNC was tough. UNC returns a good bit of defense from a very solid unit and UGA is in a coaching transition and likely starting a freshman QB or giving him tons of PT.

UCLA is going to surprise and TAMU is going to disappoint this year. Sumlin fired at years end.

Houston returns a shite ton of players from a very good team and have an elite coaching mind. Big Game Bob blows another big game.

FSU also returns a ton and Ole Miss loses a ton.
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 8:53 am
Posted by Fishhead
Elmendorf, TX
Member since Jan 2008
12170 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:42 am to
If smart is a Les Miles level retard, I would put all kinds of money on Georgia to win big in a non-conference game.
Posted by LSU Patrick
Member since Jan 2009
73470 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:43 am to
Agreed
Posted by BoarEd
The Hills
Member since Oct 2015
38862 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:44 am to
Dude, come on. I know people love them some Les Miles, but that dude is notorious for mismanaging the clock during games.

ETA: I would probably go so far as to say that Kirby Smart is going to have a few gaffes in the clock management portion of his job before he hits his stride as a head coach. Georgia will probably be left thinking quite a few times this season.
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 8:50 am
Posted by coachcrisp
pensacola, fl
Member since Jun 2012
30589 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:53 am to
quote:

quote:

So, you know what's going to happen in the UCLA game?


no i have no clue

i just think it's one of the safer ones, but i'm not betting on any week 1. you gotta see what you're working with first


I think the Aggie poster may have been trying to point out a bit of hypocrisy in your post.
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:54 am to
quote:

Dude, come on. I know people love them some Les Miles, but that dude is notorious for mismanaging the clock during games.



Yes, but Les' record in non-conference regular season games is elite. Like, very elite.

Posted by Farmer1906
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Apr 2009
50212 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:54 am to
quote:

Notre Dame
Clemson



These are the only 2 I feel good about.
Posted by Farmer1906
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Apr 2009
50212 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:56 am to
quote:

Notre Dame has had some turmoil and I think Strong and Texas improve a good amount this year. It’s also in Austin.



Any particular reasoning?

Last year ND won by 35.
Posted by Fishhead
Elmendorf, TX
Member since Jan 2008
12170 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:58 am to
I will say that Les Miles clock management issues are more ridiculed than anyone elses. Check Hugh freeze out. Watch the end of the 2014 LSU Ole Miss game. Talk about retard. Even God Saban has clock management issues from time to time. In more than a decade at LSU, Les Miles has a couple, but they are overly ridiculed. As if no one else has clock management issues
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55220 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 8:59 am to
"Rosen is gonna be very good" is wonderful logic for wagering

Good at what though? It's a new offense with a new coach that he's never been exposed to. Our pass defense is going to be very good.....
Posted by gatorhata9
Dallas, TX
Member since Dec 2010
26172 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:02 am to
quote:


Any particular reasoning?

Last year ND won by 35.


The defense was incredibly young last year and their pass defense actually wasn't that bad. Those guys are a year older now. They're just really such an unknown on offense with a freshman qb and a new OC.

I think they're trending in the right direction, but how much remains to be seen. I could still see an upset against ND as they beat some pretty good teams last year (Oklahoma and Baylor).
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:11 am to
quote:

Any particular reasoning?

Last year ND won by 35.


They return a ton of experience and added a great recruiting class that should contribute immediately.

Also, 3 of their losses last year were by 3 pts or less and a couple in heartbreaking fashion.

I think their defense will really be solid this year and the offense will be good enough to not frick up too many times.

I think they go 9-3.


(and FTR, Notre Dame lost a ton of players even before their recent turmoil)
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 9:12 am
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:25 am to
Also FTR, if LSU is -9.5 I would take Wisconsin.

Wisky almost never gets blown out and its in Green Bay.
Posted by Carolina_Girl
South Cackalacky
Member since Apr 2012
23973 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:31 am to
The Real USC will be playing Vandy on the 1st and winning.

frick off.

Clemson Vs Auburn: Auburn +7.5

I'd still say "The Real One" will win...meaning Auburn, assfrick.

Goddamn Auburn wanna-be's.
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 9:35 am
Posted by CU_Tigers4life
Georgia
Member since Aug 2013
7495 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:37 am to
quote:

The Real USC will be playing Vandy on the 1st and winning.

frick off.

Clemson Vs Auburn: Auburn +7.5

I'd still say "The Real One" will win...meaning Auburn, assfrick.

Goddamn Auburn wanna-be's.




You have a real way with words sweetheart...do you kiss your mother with that mouth?...If so do you take your teeth out first?
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 9:38 am
Posted by Carolina_Girl
South Cackalacky
Member since Apr 2012
23973 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:41 am to
quote:

You have a real way with words sweetheart...do you kiss your mother with that mouth?...If so do you take your teeth out first?



Dabo: "I slept in the bed with my mom when I was in college."

I know why you really asked this question, sheep/sister/cousin fricker. We all know you prefer your mother to gum it, too. Cold water should help the chub go down, perv.

ETA: You come on an SEC board and insult an SEC team...did you expect roses, dumbass?
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 9:45 am
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
83424 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:42 am to
quote:

= easy money

famous last words
Posted by Farmer1906
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Apr 2009
50212 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 9:44 am to
quote:

They return a ton of experience and added a great recruiting class that should contribute immediately.

Also, 3 of their losses last year were by 3 pts or less and a couple in heartbreaking fashion.

I think their defense will really be solid this year and the offense will be good enough to not frick up too many times.

I think they go 9-3.


(and FTR, Notre Dame lost a ton of players even before their recent turmoil)


I don't agree with everything, but thanks for giving a real answer.
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